Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-25 00:35:45

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 73.8/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 64.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,005
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
125 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,271.95
Current Value
$16,790.16
Period P&L
$518.21
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+6.41%
Worst Trade
-5.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$397,722.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$518.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$518.21
Gross Return
+3.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 125 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $16,271.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $708.84 23 $16,271.95
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $668.99 23 $15,357.16 $15,357.16 $-914.79
(-5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $648.47 24 $15,357.16
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $652.38 24 $15,449.88 $15,449.88 +$92.72
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $635.26 24 $15,449.88
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $655.40 24 $15,939.82 $15,939.82 +$489.94
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $601.38 27 $15,939.82
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $594.88 27 $15,767.53 $15,767.53 $-172.29
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $574.83 27 $15,767.53
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $611.70 27 $16,778.73 $16,778.73 +$1,011.20
(+6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $674.00 25 $16,778.73
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $675.11 25 $16,806.36 $16,806.36 +$27.63
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:55am ET $605.03 28 $16,806.36
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $612.53 28 $17,014.69 $17,014.69 +$208.33
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $601.94 28 $17,014.69
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $616.50 28 $17,426.25 $17,426.25 +$411.56
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $609.00 29 $17,426.25
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $604.55 29 $17,298.91 $17,298.91 $-127.34
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $620.99 28 $17,298.91
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $623.11 28 $17,357.97 $17,357.97 +$59.06
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $580.11 30 $17,357.97
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $572.59 30 $17,132.81 $17,132.81 $-225.16
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $569.01 30 $17,132.81
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $557.63 30 $16,790.16 $16,790.16 $-342.65
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,790.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,790.16
Total Return: +67.90%
Back to Monday Masher