ABBV Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 50 trades executed
+31.98%
2 Years Return
$13,887.92
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$10,522.81
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
27.2/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
60.0/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 50.4
30-Day Momentum
13
+1.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,981
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,522.81
Current Value
$13,887.92
Total P&L
$3,365.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
41
Winners / Losers
25 /
16
Best Trade
+7.08%
Worst Trade
-7.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,044,482.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,365.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,365.11
Gross Return
+31.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.98%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,522.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2024 9:55am ET | $161.90 | 65 | $10,529.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2024 3:55pm ET | $160.39 | 65 | $10,431.11 | $10,431.11 |
$-98.20 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2024 10:50am ET | $160.03 | 65 | $10,431.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2024 3:55pm ET | $168.60 | 65 | $10,989.72 | $10,989.72 |
+$558.61 (+5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 10:50am ET | $171.52 | 64 | $10,989.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $167.16 | 64 | $10,710.68 | $10,710.68 |
$-279.04 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $168.78 | 63 | $10,710.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2024 3:55pm ET | $171.09 | 63 | $10,857.59 | $10,857.59 |
+$146.91 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2024 10:30am ET | $172.44 | 63 | $10,857.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2024 3:55pm ET | $182.18 | 63 | $11,470.86 | $11,470.86 |
+$613.27 (+5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $183.66 | 62 | $11,470.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 3:55pm ET | $189.72 | 62 | $11,849.35 | $11,849.35 |
+$378.49 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $186.34 | 64 | $11,849.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET | $190.33 | 64 | $12,103.07 | $12,103.07 |
+$253.72 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $175.55 | 69 | $12,103.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 3:55pm ET | $169.76 | 69 | $11,703.89 | $11,703.89 |
$-399.18 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 11:25am ET | $177.82 | 66 | $11,703.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 29, 2024 1:00pm ET | $182.93 | 66 | $12,040.22 | $12,040.22 |
+$336.33 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2024 9:35am ET | $171.38 | 70 | $12,040.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET | $171.50 | 70 | $12,048.65 | $12,048.65 |
+$8.43 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:35am ET | $175.92 | 68 | $12,048.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $181.16 | 68 | $12,407.53 | $12,407.53 |
+$358.88 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 10:35am ET | $174.54 | 71 | $12,407.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $175.59 | 71 | $12,482.53 | $12,482.53 |
+$75.00 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2025 12:35pm ET | $207.71 | 60 | $12,482.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $202.62 | 60 | $12,176.64 | $12,176.64 |
$-305.89 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $207.45 | 59 | $12,176.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $201.62 | 59 | $11,834.44 | $11,834.44 |
$-342.20 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $179.00 | 66 | $11,834.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $174.07 | 66 | $11,508.82 | $11,508.82 |
$-325.62 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $172.12 | 67 | $11,508.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $180.50 | 67 | $12,069.50 | $12,069.50 |
+$560.68 (+4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $196.51 | 61 | $12,069.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $185.57 | 61 | $11,397.57 | $11,397.57 |
$-671.93 (-5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $184.29 | 62 | $11,397.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $187.42 | 62 | $11,591.15 | $11,591.15 |
+$193.58 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $189.35 | 61 | $11,591.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $192.31 | 61 | $11,772.08 | $11,772.08 |
+$180.93 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 10:55am ET | $189.19 | 62 | $11,772.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $194.96 | 62 | $12,131.11 | $12,131.11 |
+$359.03 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 11:40am ET | $185.70 | 65 | $12,131.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $190.85 | 65 | $12,467.88 | $12,467.88 |
+$336.77 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $188.75 | 66 | $12,467.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $188.86 | 66 | $12,475.15 | $12,475.15 |
+$7.27 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 10:05am ET | $194.32 | 64 | $12,475.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $198.98 | 64 | $12,774.65 | $12,774.65 |
+$299.50 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $208.70 | 61 | $12,774.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $207.95 | 61 | $12,728.74 | $12,728.74 |
$-45.91 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $208.65 | 61 | $12,728.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $220.18 | 61 | $13,432.45 | $13,432.45 |
+$703.71 (+5.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $217.45 | 62 | $13,432.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $222.00 | 62 | $13,713.55 | $13,713.55 |
+$281.10 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.86 | 59 | $13,713.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $230.74 | 59 | $13,647.31 | $13,647.31 |
$-66.24 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $215.23 | 63 | $13,647.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $219.07 | 63 | $13,890.80 | $13,890.80 |
+$243.49 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $217.01 | 64 | $13,890.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $232.37 | 64 | $14,873.99 | $14,873.99 |
+$983.19 (+7.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $234.78 | 63 | $14,873.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $227.70 | 63 | $14,425.45 | $14,425.45 |
$-448.54 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $225.51 | 64 | $14,425.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $230.06 | 64 | $14,716.50 | $14,716.50 |
+$291.05 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.70 | 65 | $14,716.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $224.15 | 65 | $14,615.43 | $14,615.43 |
$-101.07 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $226.60 | 64 | $14,615.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $218.68 | 64 | $14,104.60 | $14,104.60 |
$-510.83 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $221.44 | 64 | $14,104.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $227.43 | 64 | $14,486.13 | $14,486.13 |
+$381.53 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $232.40 | 62 | $14,486.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $231.62 | 62 | $14,437.20 | $14,437.20 |
$-48.93 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.33 | 64 | $14,437.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $225.40 | 64 | $14,314.63 | $14,314.63 |
$-122.57 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $221.35 | 65 | $14,314.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $205.76 | 65 | $13,306.73 | $13,306.73 |
$-1,007.90 (-7.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $204.80 | 65 | $13,306.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $210.93 | 65 | $13,705.02 | $13,705.02 |
+$398.29 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.97 | 66 | $13,705.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $212.43 | 66 | $14,066.57 | $14,066.57 |
+$361.55 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $206.00 | 68 | $14,066.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $209.03 | 68 | $14,273.48 | $14,273.48 |
+$206.91 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.57 | 69 | $14,273.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $200.99 | 69 | $13,887.92 | $13,887.92 |
$-385.56 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,887.92
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,887.92
Total Return:
+38.88%