HD Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 50 trades executed
-2.08%
2 Years Return
$9,194.36
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,389.80
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
7.6/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 6.6
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,668
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,389.80
Current Value
$9,194.36
Total P&L
$-195.44
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
44
Winners / Losers
22 /
22
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-8.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$837,607.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-195.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-195.44
Gross Return
-2.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.08%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,389.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2024 9:40am ET | $338.68 | 28 | $9,389.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2024 3:55pm ET | $326.92 | 28 | $9,063.76 | $9,063.76 |
$-326.04 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2024 10:25am ET | $331.42 | 27 | $9,063.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2024 3:55pm ET | $331.10 | 27 | $9,055.15 | $9,055.15 |
$-8.61 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2024 11:40am ET | $351.92 | 26 | $9,055.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $341.64 | 26 | $8,790.64 | $8,790.64 |
$-264.51 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 10:15am ET | $340.32 | 26 | $8,790.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $334.58 | 26 | $8,642.37 | $8,642.37 |
$-148.27 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $357.24 | 24 | $8,642.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2024 3:55pm ET | $366.29 | 24 | $8,861.43 | $8,861.43 |
+$219.06 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $348.25 | 25 | $8,861.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET | $348.56 | 25 | $8,869.45 | $8,869.45 |
+$8.02 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $344.78 | 26 | $8,869.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2024 3:55pm ET | $360.36 | 26 | $9,270.24 | $9,270.24 |
+$400.79 (+4.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 10:35am ET | $411.51 | 23 | $9,270.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2024 3:55pm ET | $402.38 | 23 | $9,064.57 | $9,064.57 |
$-205.67 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 11:55am ET | $425.56 | 21 | $9,064.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 29, 2024 1:00pm ET | $429.13 | 21 | $9,140.61 | $9,140.61 |
+$76.04 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $426.26 | 21 | $9,140.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $426.71 | 21 | $9,150.26 | $9,150.26 |
+$9.65 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:45am ET | $387.25 | 24 | $9,150.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $393.03 | 24 | $9,286.95 | $9,286.95 |
+$136.69 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $389.15 | 24 | $9,286.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $389.15 | 24 | $9,286.95 | $9,286.95 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $389.87 | 24 | $9,286.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $409.42 | 24 | $9,752.64 | $9,752.64 |
+$465.69 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $405.74 | 24 | $9,752.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $414.14 | 24 | $9,954.46 | $9,954.46 |
+$201.82 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $379.52 | 26 | $9,954.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $390.55 | 26 | $10,243.77 | $10,243.77 |
+$289.31 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 3:30pm ET | $387.62 | 26 | $10,243.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $381.63 | 26 | $10,085.47 | $10,085.47 |
$-158.30 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 12:05pm ET | $378.74 | 27 | $10,085.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $347.25 | 27 | $9,246.92 | $9,246.92 |
$-838.55 (-8.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $336.41 | 27 | $9,246.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $353.28 | 27 | $9,710.77 | $9,710.77 |
+$463.85 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $352.12 | 28 | $9,710.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $359.61 | 28 | $9,917.33 | $9,917.33 |
+$206.56 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $360.43 | 28 | $9,917.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $364.81 | 28 | $10,037.85 | $10,037.85 |
+$120.52 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $376.41 | 27 | $10,037.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $366.14 | 27 | $9,763.98 | $9,763.98 |
$-273.87 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $363.29 | 27 | $9,763.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $369.35 | 27 | $9,926.85 | $9,926.85 |
+$162.87 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 11:40am ET | $352.94 | 28 | $9,926.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $349.84 | 28 | $9,839.66 | $9,839.66 |
$-87.19 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $385.87 | 25 | $9,839.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $400.30 | 25 | $10,207.50 | $10,207.50 |
+$367.84 (+3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $395.20 | 26 | $10,207.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $397.75 | 26 | $10,273.49 | $10,273.49 |
+$65.99 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $409.01 | 25 | $10,273.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $407.58 | 25 | $10,237.68 | $10,237.68 |
$-35.81 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $418.47 | 24 | $10,237.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $417.55 | 24 | $10,215.17 | $10,215.17 |
$-22.51 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $411.41 | 25 | $10,215.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $407.48 | 25 | $10,117.59 | $10,117.59 |
$-97.58 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $406.40 | 25 | $10,117.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $395.01 | 25 | $9,834.03 | $9,834.03 |
$-283.56 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $391.93 | 25 | $9,834.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $377.83 | 25 | $9,480.24 | $9,480.24 |
$-353.79 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:00am ET | $382.96 | 25 | $9,480.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $379.54 | 25 | $9,395.70 | $9,395.70 |
$-84.54 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $375.02 | 25 | $9,395.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $369.07 | 25 | $9,246.63 | $9,246.63 |
$-149.07 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $366.71 | 25 | $9,246.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $368.10 | 25 | $9,281.68 | $9,281.68 |
+$35.05 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $359.60 | 26 | $9,281.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $332.44 | 26 | $8,580.77 | $8,580.77 |
$-700.91 (-7.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $339.37 | 25 | $8,580.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $356.92 | 25 | $9,024.51 | $9,024.51 |
+$443.74 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $347.85 | 26 | $9,024.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $357.64 | 26 | $9,278.59 | $9,278.59 |
+$254.08 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.17 | 27 | $9,278.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $359.51 | 27 | $9,720.39 | $9,720.39 |
+$441.80 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $380.45 | 26 | $9,720.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $390.22 | 26 | $9,970.01 | $9,970.01 |
+$249.62 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $376.18 | 27 | $9,970.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $375.48 | 27 | $9,951.46 | $9,951.46 |
$-18.55 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.97 | 27 | $9,951.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $362.98 | 27 | $9,633.39 | $9,633.39 |
$-318.07 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $350.36 | 27 | $9,633.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.77 | 27 | $9,342.30 | $9,342.30 |
$-291.09 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.94 | 28 | $9,342.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.92 | 28 | $9,453.98 | $9,453.98 |
+$111.68 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $345.15 | 27 | $9,453.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.70 | 27 | $9,304.56 | $9,304.56 |
$-149.42 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $333.51 | 28 | $9,304.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $329.56 | 28 | $9,194.36 | $9,194.36 |
$-110.20 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,194.36
Net Profit/Loss:
$-805.64
Total Return:
-8.06%