Compendium › Monday Masher › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+11.72%
2 Years Return
$11,208.03
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$10,032.33
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:30:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
69.4/25
Win Rate
95.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
90.7/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 72.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,029
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,032.33
Current Value
$11,208.03
Total P&L
$1,175.70
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.36

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+6.88%
Worst Trade
-5.14%
Avg Trade Return
+2.34%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$105,808.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,175.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,175.70
Gross Return
+11.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,032.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $182.19 55 $10,032.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $186.87 55 $10,290.04 $10,290.04 +$257.71
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 9:55am ET $218.16 47 $10,290.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $220.04 47 $10,378.95 $10,378.95 +$88.91
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $220.17 47 $10,378.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $235.31 47 $11,092.91 $11,092.91 +$713.96
(+6.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $250.94 44 $11,092.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $238.03 44 $10,522.22 $10,522.22 $-570.69
(-5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET $234.29 45 $10,522.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $249.55 45 $11,208.03 $11,208.03 +$685.81
(+6.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,208.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,208.03
Total Return: +12.08%
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