Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:30:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 67.4/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 60.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,806
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,950.96
Current Value
$16,309.54
Total P&L
$4,358.58
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
57
Winners / Losers
34 / 23
Best Trade
+14.28%
Worst Trade
-15.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,560,276.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,358.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,358.58
Gross Return
+36.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,950.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 13, 2024 9:35am ET $753.39 16 $11,950.96
🔴 SELL May 16, 2024 3:55pm ET $771.74 16 $12,242.04 $12,242.04 +$291.08
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2024 11:25am ET $950.10 13 $12,242.04
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2024 3:55pm ET $849.09 13 $10,940.53 $10,940.53 $-1,301.51
(-10.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2024 10:40am ET $860.80 13 $10,940.53
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2024 3:55pm ET $822.24 13 $10,450.44 $10,450.44 $-490.09
(-4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2024 10:35am ET $810.01 13 $10,450.44
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 3:55pm ET $832.24 13 $10,737.24 $10,737.24 +$286.80
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $757.23 14 $10,737.24
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $844.95 14 $11,981.08 $11,981.08 +$1,243.84
(+11.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 10:30am ET $902.51 13 $11,981.08
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2024 3:55pm ET $935.61 13 $12,420.49 $12,420.49 +$439.41
(+3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2024 9:30am ET $910.25 14 $12,420.49
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2024 3:55pm ET $908.90 14 $12,402.07 $12,402.07 $-18.42
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2024 9:35am ET $874.01 14 $12,402.07
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2024 3:55pm ET $885.33 14 $12,562.77 $12,562.77 +$160.70
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET $810.20 16 $12,562.77
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $797.54 16 $12,366.47 $12,366.47 $-196.30
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $826.60 15 $12,366.47
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 3:55pm ET $785.97 15 $11,758.69 $11,758.69 $-607.78
(-4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET $727.24 16 $11,758.69
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 3:55pm ET $749.56 16 $12,119.65 $12,119.65 +$360.96
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 10:55am ET $742.30 16 $12,119.65
🔴 SELL Nov 29, 2024 1:00pm ET $795.35 16 $12,985.81 $12,985.81 +$866.16
(+7.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET $814.29 16 $12,985.81
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 3:55pm ET $782.00 16 $12,470.87 $12,470.87 $-514.94
(-4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 10:45am ET $790.49 16 $12,470.87
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET $757.43 16 $11,949.31 $11,949.31 $-521.56
(-4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 10:00am ET $772.43 15 $11,949.31
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $782.28 15 $12,101.69 $12,101.69 +$152.38
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 10:25am ET $773.77 16 $12,101.69
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $799.35 16 $12,501.84 $12,501.84 +$400.15
(+3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:50am ET $787.21 16 $12,501.84
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $758.26 16 $12,042.08 $12,042.08 $-459.76
(-3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:55am ET $806.53 15 $12,042.08
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $870.99 15 $13,004.51 $13,004.51 +$962.43
(+8.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET $868.27 15 $13,004.51
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $871.70 15 $13,055.88 $13,055.88 +$51.37
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $882.24 15 $13,055.88
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $904.92 15 $13,391.51 $13,391.51 +$335.63
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $857.72 16 $13,391.51
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $798.01 16 $12,459.24 $12,459.24 $-932.27
(-7.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $797.65 16 $12,459.24
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $788.94 16 $12,323.27 $12,323.27 $-135.97
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $698.36 18 $12,323.27
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $720.02 18 $12,705.48 $12,705.48 +$382.21
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET $742.09 17 $12,705.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $839.47 17 $14,372.84 $14,372.84 +$1,667.36
(+13.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $830.81 17 $14,372.84
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $860.36 17 $14,884.05 $14,884.05 +$511.21
(+3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $870.05 17 $14,884.05
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $794.07 17 $13,584.25 $13,584.25 $-1,299.80
(-8.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 11:35am ET $816.01 17 $13,584.25
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $752.09 17 $12,520.16 $12,520.16 $-1,064.09
(-7.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
28 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:35am ET $736.77 17 $12,520.16
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $734.14 17 $12,475.47 $12,475.47 $-44.69
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
29 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 10:35am ET $748.82 17 $12,475.47
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $715.15 17 $11,914.52 $11,914.52 $-560.95
(-4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:45am ET $734.91 16 $11,914.52
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $765.97 16 $12,418.07 $12,418.07 +$503.55
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:30am ET $775.84 16 $12,418.07
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $794.80 16 $12,721.54 $12,721.54 +$303.47
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $766.56 17 $12,721.54
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $790.64 17 $13,121.16 $13,121.16 +$399.62
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 10:35am ET $763.00 17 $13,121.16
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $804.30 17 $13,831.39 $13,831.39 +$710.23
(+5.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:50am ET $755.04 18 $13,831.39
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $640.84 18 $11,739.39 $11,739.39 $-2,092.00
(-15.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 12:10pm ET $642.73 18 $11,739.39
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $684.46 18 $12,501.58 $12,501.58 +$762.19
(+6.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 11:50am ET $699.74 18 $12,501.58
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $710.01 18 $12,685.06 $12,685.06 +$183.48
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:40am ET $702.62 18 $12,685.06
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $732.30 18 $13,220.90 $13,220.90 +$535.84
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:35am ET $748.03 18 $13,220.90
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $762.74 18 $13,480.96 $13,480.96 +$260.06
(+2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $717.64 19 $13,480.96
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $820.12 19 $15,406.17 $15,406.17 +$1,925.21
(+14.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:10am ET $826.67 19 $15,406.17
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $819.34 19 $15,269.57 $15,269.57 $-136.60
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $819.42 19 $15,269.57
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $844.22 19 $15,731.74 $15,731.74 +$462.17
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET $967.19 16 $15,731.74
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,023.15 16 $16,642.04 $16,642.04 +$910.30
(+5.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $1,010.44 16 $16,642.04
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,042.68 16 $17,173.04 $17,173.04 +$531.00
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $1,053.92 16 $17,173.04
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $1,075.47 16 $17,524.19 $17,524.19 +$351.15
(+2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:35am ET $1,064.14 16 $17,524.19
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,013.85 16 $16,696.02 $16,696.02 $-828.17
(-4.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:10am ET $997.07 17 $16,696.02
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,009.17 17 $16,898.64 $16,898.64 +$202.62
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET $1,067.42 16 $16,898.64
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,077.51 16 $17,058.46 $17,058.46 +$159.82
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $1,058.83 16 $17,058.46
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,084.68 16 $17,474.88 $17,474.88 +$416.42
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.05 17 $17,474.88
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,023.52 17 $16,936.59 $16,936.59 $-538.29
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,040.94 16 $16,936.59
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,019.98 16 $16,595.56 $16,595.56 $-341.03
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $1,064.47 16 $16,595.56
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,038.95 16 $16,197.69 $16,197.69 $-397.87
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,037.38 16 $16,197.69
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $981.36 16 $15,322.99 $15,322.99 $-874.70
(-5.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $980.38 16 $15,322.99
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $918.08 16 $14,349.19 $14,349.19 $-973.80
(-6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $915.65 16 $14,349.19
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $899.01 16 $14,088.42 $14,088.42 $-260.77
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $886.85 16 $14,088.42
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $936.04 16 $14,869.85 $14,869.85 +$781.43
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $926.68 16 $14,869.85
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $955.28 16 $15,328.70 $15,328.70 +$458.85
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET $879.24 17 $15,328.70
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $935.50 17 $16,309.54 $16,309.54 +$980.84
(+6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,309.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,309.54
Total Return: +63.10%
Back to Monday Masher