VRTX Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 46 trades executed
+41.54%
2 Years Return
$13,649.06
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,643.53
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
47
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
25.5/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
55.4/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 46.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,404
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
506 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,643.53
Current Value
$13,649.06
Total P&L
$4,005.53
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
41
Winners / Losers
22 /
19
Best Trade
+8.96%
Worst Trade
-3.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$914,448.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,005.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,005.53
Gross Return
+41.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+41.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 506 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,643.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2024 9:40am ET | $479.35 | 20 | $9,643.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2024 3:55pm ET | $475.64 | 20 | $9,568.89 | $9,568.89 |
$-74.64 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 9:35am ET | $476.02 | 20 | $9,568.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2024 3:55pm ET | $471.43 | 20 | $9,476.62 | $9,476.62 |
$-92.27 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2024 11:40am ET | $492.24 | 19 | $9,476.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 3:55pm ET | $491.12 | 19 | $9,455.06 | $9,455.06 |
$-21.56 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $473.18 | 20 | $9,455.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET | $465.72 | 20 | $9,305.99 | $9,305.99 |
$-149.07 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 12:50pm ET | $459.95 | 20 | $9,305.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 3:55pm ET | $461.80 | 20 | $9,343.52 | $9,343.52 |
+$37.53 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $512.89 | 18 | $9,343.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $494.76 | 18 | $9,013.24 | $9,013.24 |
$-330.28 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:55am ET | $470.77 | 19 | $9,013.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2024 3:55pm ET | $468.16 | 19 | $8,963.27 | $8,963.27 |
$-49.97 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $391.83 | 23 | $8,963.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2024 3:55pm ET | $410.50 | 23 | $9,390.35 | $9,390.35 |
+$427.08 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:35am ET | $402.19 | 23 | $9,390.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $405.88 | 23 | $9,476.50 | $9,476.50 |
+$86.15 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $400.98 | 24 | $9,476.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $412.18 | 24 | $9,741.19 | $9,741.19 |
+$264.69 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $404.14 | 24 | $9,741.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $424.46 | 24 | $10,230.97 | $10,230.97 |
+$489.78 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $466.91 | 22 | $10,230.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $452.90 | 22 | $9,923.98 | $9,923.98 |
$-306.99 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 11:25am ET | $479.50 | 21 | $9,923.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.98 | 21 | $9,913.22 | $9,913.22 |
$-10.76 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 3:15pm ET | $484.40 | 20 | $9,913.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $491.65 | 20 | $10,061.59 | $10,061.59 |
+$148.37 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 3:05pm ET | $497.75 | 20 | $10,061.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $495.41 | 20 | $10,014.36 | $10,014.36 |
$-47.23 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $483.00 | 21 | $10,014.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $483.26 | 21 | $10,019.75 | $10,019.75 |
+$5.39 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $456.56 | 22 | $10,019.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $481.95 | 22 | $10,576.96 | $10,576.96 |
+$557.21 (+5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $483.81 | 22 | $10,576.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $492.30 | 22 | $10,762.61 | $10,762.61 |
+$185.65 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 10:35am ET | $433.69 | 25 | $10,762.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $420.90 | 25 | $10,445.21 | $10,445.21 |
$-317.40 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $445.13 | 23 | $10,445.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $452.75 | 23 | $10,624.02 | $10,624.02 |
+$178.81 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 9:55am ET | $439.72 | 24 | $10,624.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $457.03 | 24 | $11,042.37 | $11,042.37 |
+$418.35 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:55am ET | $465.25 | 24 | $11,042.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $469.30 | 24 | $11,138.49 | $11,138.49 |
+$96.12 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 1:05pm ET | $375.85 | 30 | $11,138.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $395.85 | 30 | $11,731.28 | $11,731.28 |
+$592.79 (+5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $392.52 | 30 | $11,731.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $389.06 | 30 | $11,627.87 | $11,627.87 |
$-103.41 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $421.15 | 28 | $11,627.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $416.96 | 28 | $11,512.18 | $11,512.18 |
$-115.69 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $434.76 | 26 | $11,512.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $421.00 | 26 | $11,147.82 | $11,147.82 |
$-364.36 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $426.97 | 26 | $11,147.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $432.20 | 26 | $11,284.44 | $11,284.44 |
+$136.62 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:05am ET | $426.37 | 26 | $11,284.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $463.22 | 26 | $12,259.72 | $12,259.72 |
+$975.28 (+8.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:10am ET | $446.96 | 27 | $12,259.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $444.67 | 27 | $12,196.91 | $12,196.91 |
$-62.81 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $448.41 | 27 | $12,196.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $484.20 | 27 | $13,170.41 | $13,170.41 |
+$973.50 (+8.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $456.33 | 29 | $13,170.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $449.60 | 29 | $12,976.17 | $12,976.17 |
$-194.24 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.73 | 28 | $12,976.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $470.53 | 28 | $13,109.77 | $13,109.77 |
+$133.60 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $471.86 | 28 | $13,109.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $461.18 | 28 | $12,813.05 | $12,813.05 |
$-296.72 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $480.70 | 27 | $12,813.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $483.29 | 27 | $12,881.95 | $12,881.95 |
+$68.90 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $488.30 | 26 | $12,881.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $478.50 | 26 | $12,623.28 | $12,623.28 |
$-258.67 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $451.01 | 28 | $12,623.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $491.41 | 28 | $13,754.03 | $13,754.03 |
+$1,130.75 (+9.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $468.54 | 29 | $13,754.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $451.58 | 29 | $13,256.46 | $13,256.46 |
$-497.57 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $452.81 | 29 | $13,256.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $455.47 | 29 | $13,334.33 | $13,334.33 |
+$77.87 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $437.16 | 31 | $13,334.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $447.89 | 31 | $13,661.77 | $13,661.77 |
+$327.44 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $439.21 | 31 | $13,661.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $442.00 | 31 | $13,748.55 | $13,748.55 |
+$86.78 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $427.01 | 32 | $13,748.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $423.92 | 32 | $13,649.06 | $13,649.06 |
$-99.49 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,649.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,649.06
Total Return:
+36.49%