Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:22:33

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 14.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.7

30-Day Momentum

53
+7.9%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.6 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,034.95
Current Value
$11,039.12
Period P&L
$1,004.18
Max Drawdown
-29.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+3.96%
Worst Trade
-1.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
15.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$268,055.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,004.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,004.18
Gross Return
+10.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,034.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $75.58 133 $10,052.80
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $76.84 133 $10,219.72 $10,232.44 +$166.91
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $77.10 132 $10,177.20
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $76.42 132 $10,086.78 $10,142.02 $-90.42
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $77.00 131 $10,087.65
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $78.20 131 $10,244.20 $10,298.56 +$156.54
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $80.40 128 $10,291.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:30am ET $81.61 128 $10,446.08 $10,453.44 +$154.88
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.32 128 $10,409.60
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $80.59 128 $10,315.52 $10,359.36 $-94.08
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $79.23 130 $10,299.90
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $78.48 130 $10,202.40 $10,261.86 $-97.50
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $80.04 128 $10,245.76
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $78.61 128 $10,062.08 $10,078.18 $-183.68
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $75.85 132 $10,012.20
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET $77.02 132 $10,166.65 $10,232.63 +$154.45
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $74.96 136 $10,194.56
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $74.03 136 $10,068.08 $10,106.15 $-126.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $72.92 138 $10,062.96
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $74.21 138 $10,240.98 $10,284.17 +$178.02
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $75.27 136 $10,236.72
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $78.25 136 $10,642.00 $10,689.45 +$405.28
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $78.98 135 $10,662.30
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:15am ET $80.19 135 $10,825.65 $10,852.80 +$163.35
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $78.89 137 $10,807.93
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.25 137 $10,994.25 $11,039.12 +$186.32
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,039.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,039.12
Total Return: +10.39%
Back to Nina Micro