Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 20:29:40

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,806.82
Current Value
$9,703.14
Period P&L
$-103.66
Max Drawdown
-14.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+1.71%
Worst Trade
-1.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$212,717.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-103.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-103.66
Gross Return
-1.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,806.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:35am ET $103.62 94 $9,740.28
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $103.19 94 $9,699.85 $9,766.37 $-40.43
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $103.89 94 $9,765.75
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $102.82 94 $9,665.08 $9,665.70 $-100.67
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $100.76 95 $9,572.67
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $102.37 95 $9,725.15 $9,818.18 +$152.48
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $101.15 97 $9,811.55
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:05am ET $100.35 97 $9,733.95 $9,740.58 $-77.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $100.61 96 $9,658.08
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $99.57 96 $9,558.72 $9,641.22 $-99.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $99.27 97 $9,629.19
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $99.10 97 $9,612.70 $9,624.73 $-16.49
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $99.42 96 $9,543.84
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $98.57 96 $9,463.20 $9,544.09 $-80.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $98.59 96 $9,464.64
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $100.18 96 $9,617.28 $9,696.73 +$152.64
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $100.18 96 $9,617.76
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $101.90 96 $9,782.40 $9,861.37 +$164.64
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $101.43 97 $9,838.71
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET $100.64 97 $9,762.08 $9,784.74 $-76.63
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $101.75 96 $9,768.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $100.90 96 $9,686.40 $9,703.14 $-81.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,703.14
Net Profit/Loss: $-296.86
Total Return: -2.97%
Back to Nina Micro