Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 13:11:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 36.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 36.8

30-Day Momentum

10
-4.2%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 1.00×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,136.25
Current Value
$15,155.27
Period P&L
$-980.96
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
4 / 12
Best Trade
+2.43%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
4.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$509,710.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-980.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-980.96
Gross Return
-6.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $16,136.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $221.26 72 $15,930.90
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $216.93 72 $15,618.96 $15,824.29 $-311.94
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $241.16 65 $15,675.40
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $245.36 65 $15,948.40 $16,097.29 +$273.00
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $255.91 62 $15,866.73
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $253.94 62 $15,744.28 $15,974.84 $-122.45
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:15am ET $254.36 62 $15,770.32
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $260.53 62 $16,152.86 $16,357.38 +$382.54
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $288.25 56 $16,142.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $293.14 56 $16,416.12 $16,631.50 +$274.12
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $318.55 52 $16,564.60
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $315.92 52 $16,427.84 $16,494.74 $-136.76
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $317.09 52 $16,488.68
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $311.02 52 $16,173.04 $16,179.10 $-315.64
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $302.49 53 $16,031.97
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $308.72 53 $16,362.16 $16,509.29 +$330.19
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $291.85 56 $16,343.60
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $289.26 56 $16,198.28 $16,363.97 $-145.32
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:10am ET $284.77 57 $16,231.89
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $282.49 57 $16,101.93 $16,234.01 $-129.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:45am ET $276.50 58 $16,037.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $273.80 58 $15,880.41 $16,077.42 $-156.59
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $275.88 58 $16,001.26
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $273.73 58 $15,876.34 $15,952.50 $-124.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $274.49 58 $15,920.71
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $270.55 58 $15,691.90 $15,723.69 $-228.81
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $269.47 58 $15,629.26
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET $267.04 58 $15,488.03 $15,582.46 $-141.23
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET $270.76 57 $15,433.32
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $266.08 57 $15,166.56 $15,315.70 $-266.76
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $250.46 61 $15,278.06
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $247.83 61 $15,117.63 $15,155.27 $-160.43
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,155.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,155.27
Total Return: +51.55%
Back to Nina Micro