Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 14:23:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.6%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,716.89
Current Value
$10,327.16
Period P&L
$-389.77
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.54%
Worst Trade
-1.56%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$209,289.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-389.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-389.77
Gross Return
-3.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,716.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:50am ET $436.61 24 $10,478.64
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.03 24 $10,584.73 $10,823.02 +$106.09
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $436.17 24 $10,468.08
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $432.42 24 $10,378.08 $10,733.02 $-90.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:10am ET $419.97 25 $10,499.25
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $420.46 25 $10,511.62 $10,745.39 +$12.37
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $406.57 26 $10,570.69
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $401.18 26 $10,430.68 $10,605.38 $-140.01
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET $400.36 26 $10,409.49
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $406.53 26 $10,569.78 $10,765.67 +$160.29
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:50am ET $422.71 25 $10,567.75
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:50am ET $421.98 25 $10,549.50 $10,747.42 $-18.25
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $426.87 25 $10,671.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $423.48 25 $10,587.00 $10,662.67 $-84.75
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $417.91 25 $10,447.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $414.46 25 $10,361.50 $10,576.42 $-86.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $413.64 25 $10,341.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $407.17 25 $10,179.37 $10,414.79 $-161.63
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $415.40 25 $10,385.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:50am ET $411.89 25 $10,297.37 $10,327.16 $-87.63
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,327.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$327.16
Total Return: +3.27%
Back to Nina Micro