Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:16:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.7%
30d Return
23%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,399.87
Current Value
$9,708.20
Period P&L
$-691.70
Max Drawdown
-19.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+1.97%
Worst Trade
-1.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.52%
Avg Hold Time
16.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,511.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-691.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-691.70
Gross Return
-6.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,399.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET $120.41 86 $10,355.26
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $118.08 86 $10,154.88 $10,199.52 $-200.38
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $122.99 82 $10,085.18
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET $121.86 82 $9,992.11 $10,106.45 $-93.07
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET $121.76 83 $10,105.85
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $120.74 83 $10,021.42 $10,022.02 $-84.43
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $118.87 84 $9,984.93
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $117.49 84 $9,869.16 $9,906.25 $-115.77
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET $116.36 85 $9,891.02
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET $115.33 85 $9,803.05 $9,818.28 $-87.97
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET $117.08 83 $9,717.64
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $118.91 83 $9,869.53 $9,970.17 +$151.89
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.03 85 $9,947.55
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $114.76 85 $9,754.58 $9,777.20 $-192.97
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $112.10 87 $9,752.74
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $113.82 87 $9,902.34 $9,926.80 +$149.60
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $112.57 88 $9,905.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET $111.65 88 $9,825.64 $9,846.72 $-80.08
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:15am ET $111.62 88 $9,822.56
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $110.70 88 $9,741.60 $9,765.76 $-80.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $110.12 88 $9,690.56
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $108.22 88 $9,523.36 $9,598.56 $-167.20
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $108.99 88 $9,591.12
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $111.14 88 $9,779.88 $9,787.32 +$188.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:15am ET $113.39 86 $9,751.54
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $112.47 86 $9,672.42 $9,708.20 $-79.12
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,708.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-291.80
Total Return: -2.92%
Back to Nina Micro