Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 04:07:43

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 21.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 21.1

30-Day Momentum

55
+7.7%
30d Return
53%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.9 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,309.35
Current Value
$12,250.99
Period P&L
$941.57
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+2.66%
Worst Trade
-2.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
17.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$381,851.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$941.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$941.57
Gross Return
+8.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,309.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:55am ET $14.18 789 $11,184.08
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $14.37 789 $11,337.93 $11,348.87 +$153.85
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $14.69 772 $11,336.82
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:35am ET $14.93 772 $11,526.04 $11,538.09 +$189.22
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $16.19 712 $11,527.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $16.58 712 $11,801.40 $11,812.21 +$274.12
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $16.73 706 $11,811.38
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:20am ET $17.17 706 $12,125.55 $12,126.38 +$314.17
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $17.85 679 $12,123.54
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET $17.71 679 $12,025.09 $12,027.92 $-98.46
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $18.14 663 $12,023.51
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $17.94 663 $11,894.22 $11,898.64 $-129.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.27 731 $11,897.02
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $16.68 731 $12,193.08 $12,194.70 +$296.06
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $16.90 721 $12,184.90
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $16.55 721 $11,932.55 $11,942.35 $-252.35
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $15.53 768 $11,927.04
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $15.37 768 $11,804.39 $11,819.70 $-122.65
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $15.14 780 $11,805.30
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $15.40 780 $12,012.08 $12,026.48 +$206.78
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.83 714 $12,013.05
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.69 714 $11,919.52 $11,932.95 $-93.53
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $16.66 716 $11,924.98
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $16.91 716 $12,103.98 $12,111.95 +$179.00
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $16.19 748 $12,110.12
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $16.48 748 $12,327.04 $12,328.87 +$216.92
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $15.10 816 $12,325.68
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $14.90 816 $12,154.32 $12,157.51 $-171.36
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $14.91 815 $12,155.72
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $14.80 815 $12,057.93 $12,059.71 $-97.80
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $14.48 832 $12,047.44
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $14.71 832 $12,238.72 $12,250.99 +$191.28
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,250.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,250.99
Total Return: +22.51%
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