Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:31:44

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

18
+1.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.2 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,672.05
Current Value
$9,647.29
Period P&L
$-24.72
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+1.84%
Worst Trade
-0.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$114,919.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-24.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-24.72
Gross Return
-0.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,672.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $83.79 113 $9,467.71
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $85.33 113 $9,642.29 $9,678.23 +$174.58
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $85.32 113 $9,640.60
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $84.92 113 $9,596.19 $9,633.82 $-44.41
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $85.71 112 $9,600.08
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $84.97 112 $9,517.20 $9,550.94 $-82.88
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET $84.98 112 $9,517.76
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET $85.31 112 $9,554.73 $9,587.91 +$36.97
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET $85.54 112 $9,581.04
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:15am ET $86.10 112 $9,643.20 $9,650.07 +$62.16
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $86.32 111 $9,580.97
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $86.29 111 $9,578.19 $9,647.29 $-2.78
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,647.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-352.71
Total Return: -3.53%
Back to Nina Micro