Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-27 17:06:01

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 34.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.6

30-Day Momentum

10
-14.2%
30d Return
15%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,134.61
Current Value
$14,732.95
Period P&L
$-2,401.69
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.85

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
2 / 12
Best Trade
+1.54%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
-1.38%
Avg Hold Time
16.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$456,185.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,401.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,401.69
Gross Return
-14.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $17,134.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $137.17 130 $17,832.10
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $131.43 130 $17,085.90 $17,181.44 $-746.20
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:45am ET $130.40 131 $17,083.05
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $129.35 131 $16,944.85 $17,043.24 $-138.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $127.13 134 $17,034.75
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:45pm ET $129.05 134 $17,292.70 $17,301.19 +$257.95
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $135.27 127 $17,179.92
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET $134.25 127 $17,049.75 $17,171.02 $-130.17
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $140.64 122 $17,157.48
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $136.74 122 $16,682.28 $16,695.82 $-475.20
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.04 123 $16,609.31
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $133.62 123 $16,435.26 $16,521.77 $-174.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $135.22 122 $16,496.84
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $131.87 122 $16,088.14 $16,113.07 $-408.70
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $134.88 119 $16,050.58
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $133.51 119 $15,888.28 $15,950.78 $-162.29
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $127.25 125 $15,905.63
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET $126.26 125 $15,782.50 $15,827.65 $-123.13
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $119.59 132 $15,785.88
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $121.43 132 $16,028.76 $16,070.53 +$242.88
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:25am ET $115.26 139 $16,021.83
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $114.40 139 $15,901.60 $15,950.30 $-120.23
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $114.65 139 $15,936.35
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $112.67 139 $15,661.13 $15,675.08 $-275.22
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $110.91 141 $15,638.31
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $106.45 141 $15,009.45 $15,046.22 $-628.86
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $108.39 138 $14,957.82
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $106.12 138 $14,644.55 $14,732.95 $-313.27
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,732.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,732.95
Total Return: +47.33%
Back to Nina Micro