Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 10:59:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-7.2%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,932
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,105.60
Current Value
$4,681.65
Period P&L
$-423.94
Max Drawdown
-44.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
14 / 28
Best Trade
+3.02%
Worst Trade
-5.30%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
12.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$394,799.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-423.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-423.94
Gross Return
-8.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 42 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $5,105.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET $241.11 21 $5,063.31
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $236.38 21 $4,963.98 $5,006.26 $-99.33
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $241.57 20 $4,831.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $239.74 20 $4,794.90 $4,969.76 $-36.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $242.63 20 $4,852.60
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $239.40 20 $4,788.10 $4,905.26 $-64.50
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET $239.68 20 $4,793.56
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $243.33 20 $4,866.60 $4,978.30 +$73.04
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $244.16 20 $4,883.20
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $241.67 20 $4,833.40 $4,928.50 $-49.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $243.29 20 $4,865.90
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $241.17 20 $4,823.40 $4,886.00 $-42.50
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $228.65 21 $4,801.55
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $226.25 21 $4,751.25 $4,835.70 $-50.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $237.97 20 $4,759.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $241.99 20 $4,839.80 $4,916.10 +$80.40
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $244.17 20 $4,883.40
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 20 $5,031.00 $5,063.70 +$147.60
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:00am ET $250.13 20 $5,002.60
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET $247.74 20 $4,954.80 $5,015.90 $-47.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $247.78 20 $4,955.60
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $245.90 20 $4,918.00 $4,978.30 $-37.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $254.69 19 $4,839.11
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $241.20 19 $4,582.80 $4,721.99 $-256.31
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:20am ET $239.82 19 $4,556.67
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $243.53 19 $4,627.07 $4,792.39 +$70.40
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $239.65 19 $4,553.30
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $243.60 19 $4,628.40 $4,867.49 +$75.10
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $240.79 20 $4,815.80
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $238.90 20 $4,778.00 $4,829.69 $-37.80
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:40am ET $246.11 19 $4,676.09
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $250.29 19 $4,755.51 $4,909.11 +$79.42
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
17 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $253.41 19 $4,814.79
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $251.23 19 $4,773.28 $4,867.60 $-41.51
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $250.76 19 $4,764.44
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $248.59 19 $4,723.21 $4,826.37 $-41.23
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
19 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $257.86 18 $4,641.57
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $255.82 18 $4,604.67 $4,789.47 $-36.90
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
20 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $252.15 18 $4,538.61
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:20am ET $249.90 18 $4,498.20 $4,749.06 $-40.41
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:20am ET $243.72 19 $4,630.68
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $241.40 19 $4,586.63 $4,705.01 $-44.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
22 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $233.41 20 $4,668.20
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $236.92 20 $4,738.40 $4,775.21 +$70.20
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
23 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $244.00 19 $4,636.00
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $247.75 19 $4,707.25 $4,846.46 +$71.25
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $253.90 19 $4,824.10
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $260.15 19 $4,942.77 $4,965.13 +$118.67
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
25 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $250.27 19 $4,755.22
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $246.71 19 $4,687.49 $4,897.40 $-67.73
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
26 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $243.59 20 $4,871.80
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $247.35 20 $4,947.10 $4,972.70 +$75.30
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
27 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $241.40 20 $4,827.90
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $238.92 20 $4,778.40 $4,923.20 $-49.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
28 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $240.26 20 $4,805.20
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $238.43 20 $4,768.60 $4,886.60 $-36.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
29 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $241.58 20 $4,831.60
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $245.91 20 $4,918.20 $4,973.20 +$86.60
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $273.95 18 $4,931.10
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $264.17 18 $4,754.97 $4,797.07 $-176.13
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $256.34 18 $4,614.12
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $254.15 18 $4,574.63 $4,757.58 $-39.49
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $263.14 18 $4,736.52
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:55am ET $260.92 18 $4,696.56 $4,717.62 $-39.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:55am ET $249.68 18 $4,494.24
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $246.51 18 $4,437.18 $4,660.56 $-57.06
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $241.70 19 $4,592.30
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $238.87 19 $4,538.44 $4,606.70 $-53.86
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $235.62 19 $4,476.78
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $233.76 19 $4,441.35 $4,571.27 $-35.43
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $223.18 20 $4,463.60
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $221.24 20 $4,424.70 $4,532.37 $-38.90
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $207.74 21 $4,362.44
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $206.14 21 $4,328.94 $4,498.87 $-33.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $204.01 22 $4,488.22
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $201.15 22 $4,425.30 $4,435.95 $-62.92
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $191.50 23 $4,404.50
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:35am ET $195.26 23 $4,490.98 $4,522.43 +$86.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET $194.47 23 $4,472.81
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:15am ET $192.84 23 $4,435.21 $4,484.83 $-37.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $198.46 22 $4,366.12
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $202.20 22 $4,448.40 $4,567.11 +$82.28
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET $194.15 23 $4,465.45
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $199.13 23 $4,579.99 $4,681.65 +$114.54
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,681.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,318.35
Total Return: -53.18%
Back to Nina Micro