ARKK Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 40 trades in period
+13.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,039.12
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$9,691.62
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
14.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.7
30-Day Momentum
53
+7.9%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.6
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,691.62
Current Value
$11,039.12
Period P&L
$1,347.51
Max Drawdown
-29.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
19 /
21
Best Trade
+7.08%
Worst Trade
-2.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$798,267.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,347.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,347.51
Gross Return
+13.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,691.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $68.68 | 138 | $9,477.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.02 | 138 | $9,662.76 | $9,673.66 |
+$184.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.11 | 137 | $9,605.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $69.43 | 137 | $9,511.91 | $9,580.23 |
$-93.43 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $70.35 | 136 | $9,567.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $69.82 | 136 | $9,494.84 | $9,507.47 |
$-72.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $68.46 | 138 | $9,447.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $67.94 | 138 | $9,376.41 | $9,436.40 |
$-71.07 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $64.90 | 145 | $9,411.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $64.28 | 145 | $9,320.60 | $9,345.78 |
$-90.63 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $65.56 | 142 | $9,309.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $66.89 | 142 | $9,498.38 | $9,534.64 |
+$188.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $68.89 | 138 | $9,507.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $68.19 | 138 | $9,410.91 | $9,438.04 |
$-96.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $68.95 | 136 | $9,377.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $68.43 | 136 | $9,306.48 | $9,367.32 |
$-70.72 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $68.10 | 137 | $9,329.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.92 | 137 | $9,990.20 | $10,027.83 |
+$660.51 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $69.40 | 144 | $9,993.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $68.81 | 144 | $9,908.64 | $9,942.87 |
$-84.96 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $69.07 | 143 | $9,877.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $70.46 | 143 | $10,075.78 | $10,141.64 |
+$198.77 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $74.96 | 135 | $10,120.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $74.35 | 135 | $10,036.58 | $10,057.94 |
$-83.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $75.90 | 132 | $10,018.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.17 | 132 | $10,186.44 | $10,225.58 |
+$167.64 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $79.61 | 128 | $10,190.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.50 | 128 | $10,048.00 | $10,083.50 |
$-142.08 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $79.04 | 127 | $10,038.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $78.14 | 127 | $9,923.15 | $9,968.57 |
$-114.93 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $79.09 | 126 | $9,965.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.49 | 126 | $9,889.11 | $9,892.34 |
$-76.23 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $76.61 | 129 | $9,882.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $76.89 | 129 | $9,918.81 | $9,928.46 |
+$36.12 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $74.90 | 132 | $9,887.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.14 | 132 | $9,786.48 | $9,827.48 |
$-100.98 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $75.32 | 130 | $9,791.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $76.45 | 130 | $9,938.50 | $9,974.38 |
+$146.90 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $77.78 | 128 | $9,955.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $77.19 | 128 | $9,880.96 | $9,899.50 |
$-74.88 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $78.08 | 126 | $9,838.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $79.32 | 126 | $9,994.32 | $10,055.73 |
+$156.23 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $77.44 | 129 | $9,989.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $78.63 | 129 | $10,142.63 | $10,208.59 |
+$152.86 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $80.17 | 127 | $10,181.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.23 | 127 | $10,062.21 | $10,089.21 |
$-119.38 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $77.03 | 130 | $10,013.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $78.22 | 130 | $10,168.60 | $10,243.91 |
+$154.70 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $78.28 | 130 | $10,176.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.44 | 130 | $9,937.20 | $10,004.71 |
$-239.20 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.93 | 133 | $9,965.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $74.21 | 133 | $9,870.59 | $9,910.28 |
$-94.43 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $73.32 | 135 | $9,898.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:10pm ET | $74.47 | 135 | $10,054.12 | $10,065.53 |
+$155.25 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $75.58 | 133 | $10,052.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $76.84 | 133 | $10,219.72 | $10,232.44 |
+$166.91 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $77.10 | 132 | $10,177.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $76.42 | 132 | $10,086.78 | $10,142.02 |
$-90.42 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 3:25pm ET | $77.00 | 131 | $10,087.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $78.20 | 131 | $10,244.20 | $10,298.56 |
+$156.54 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $80.40 | 128 | $10,291.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $81.61 | 128 | $10,446.08 | $10,453.44 |
+$154.88 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:40pm ET | $81.32 | 128 | $10,409.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.59 | 128 | $10,315.52 | $10,359.36 |
$-94.08 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.23 | 130 | $10,299.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.48 | 130 | $10,202.40 | $10,261.86 |
$-97.50 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $80.04 | 128 | $10,245.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.61 | 128 | $10,062.08 | $10,078.18 |
$-183.68 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $75.85 | 132 | $10,012.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $77.02 | 132 | $10,166.65 | $10,232.63 |
+$154.45 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $74.96 | 136 | $10,194.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $74.03 | 136 | $10,068.08 | $10,106.15 |
$-126.48 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $72.92 | 138 | $10,062.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $74.21 | 138 | $10,240.98 | $10,284.17 |
+$178.02 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $75.27 | 136 | $10,236.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.25 | 136 | $10,642.00 | $10,689.45 |
+$405.28 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $78.98 | 135 | $10,662.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $80.19 | 135 | $10,825.65 | $10,852.80 |
+$163.35 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $78.89 | 137 | $10,807.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $80.25 | 137 | $10,994.25 | $11,039.12 |
+$186.32 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,039.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,039.12
Total Return:
+10.39%