Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:49:54

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.8/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.6

30-Day Momentum

40
+4.1%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.2 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,851
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,485.94
Current Value
$13,390.78
Period P&L
$-95.25
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
12 / 23
Best Trade
+2.39%
Worst Trade
-2.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
21.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$846,665.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-95.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-95.25
Gross Return
-0.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,485.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $981.74 13 $12,762.62
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $961.54 13 $12,500.02 $13,223.43 $-262.60
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET $975.72 13 $12,684.36
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $967.27 13 $12,574.51 $13,113.58 $-109.85
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET $977.20 13 $12,703.60
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $969.24 13 $12,600.12 $13,010.10 $-103.48
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $952.26 13 $12,379.38
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $944.94 13 $12,284.22 $12,914.94 $-95.16
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $940.20 13 $12,222.60
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $932.86 13 $12,127.18 $12,819.52 $-95.42
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $965.83 13 $12,555.79
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $958.18 13 $12,456.34 $12,720.07 $-99.45
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:35am ET $959.51 13 $12,473.63
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $950.78 13 $12,360.20 $12,606.64 $-113.43
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $1,006.16 12 $12,073.92
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $994.37 12 $11,932.44 $12,465.16 $-141.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1,000.03 12 $12,000.30
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:45am ET $992.03 12 $11,904.30 $12,369.16 $-96.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:45am ET $1,002.09 12 $12,025.08
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,017.85 12 $12,214.26 $12,558.34 +$189.18
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,054.45 11 $11,598.96
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $1,045.20 11 $11,497.20 $12,456.58 $-101.76
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,063.18 11 $11,694.98
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,055.15 11 $11,606.60 $12,368.19 $-88.39
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,047.62 11 $11,523.82
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $1,068.80 11 $11,756.80 $12,601.17 +$232.98
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $1,056.33 11 $11,619.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,045.45 11 $11,499.95 $12,481.43 $-119.74
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,053.85 11 $11,592.35
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $1,045.35 11 $11,498.90 $12,387.99 $-93.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET $1,050.81 11 $11,558.86
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $1,037.00 11 $11,407.00 $12,236.13 $-151.86
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $1,061.22 11 $11,673.42
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $1,077.78 11 $11,855.58 $12,418.29 +$182.16
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
18 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $1,054.43 11 $11,598.73
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $1,079.65 11 $11,876.10 $12,695.65 +$277.36
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $1,069.88 11 $11,768.68
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,061.55 11 $11,677.05 $12,604.02 $-91.63
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
20 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,079.29 11 $11,872.19
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,078.55 11 $11,864.05 $12,595.88 $-8.14
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
21 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $1,085.37 11 $11,939.07
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $1,102.93 11 $12,132.18 $12,788.99 +$193.11
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
22 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $1,083.45 11 $11,917.95
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $1,081.01 11 $11,891.11 $12,762.15 $-26.84
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
23 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $1,067.14 11 $11,738.54
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:45am ET $1,058.79 11 $11,646.69 $12,670.30 $-91.85
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
24 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,043.47 12 $12,521.64
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,059.14 12 $12,709.68 $12,858.34 +$188.04
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
25 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,076.76 11 $11,844.36
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,081.21 11 $11,893.36 $12,907.34 +$49.00
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
26 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $1,073.02 12 $12,876.18
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,058.51 12 $12,702.12 $12,733.28 $-174.06
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,056.16 12 $12,673.92
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,047.29 12 $12,567.48 $12,626.84 $-106.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,019.23 12 $12,230.82
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $1,034.55 12 $12,414.60 $12,810.62 +$183.78
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $993.26 12 $11,919.08
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05am ET $985.78 12 $11,829.34 $12,720.88 $-89.74
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET $996.59 12 $11,959.14
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:30am ET $1,012.07 12 $12,144.84 $12,906.58 +$185.70
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $998.33 12 $11,979.96
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $997.76 12 $11,973.12 $12,899.74 $-6.84
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $995.68 12 $11,948.22
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,011.15 12 $12,133.80 $13,085.32 +$185.58
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:55am ET $1,008.74 12 $12,104.88
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $1,028.15 12 $12,337.80 $13,318.24 +$232.92
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $1,044.18 12 $12,530.10
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET $1,060.34 12 $12,724.08 $13,512.22 +$193.98
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET $1,067.78 12 $12,813.36
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,057.66 12 $12,691.92 $13,390.78 $-121.44
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,390.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,390.78
Total Return: +33.91%
Back to Nina Micro