Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 20:29:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,722.26
Current Value
$9,703.14
Period P&L
$-1,019.10
Max Drawdown
-14.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
9 / 26
Best Trade
+2.15%
Worst Trade
-1.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$693,334.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,019.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,019.10
Gross Return
-9.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,722.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:40pm ET $99.04 108 $10,696.32
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $99.19 108 $10,713.06 $10,729.26 +$16.74
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.80 109 $10,660.20
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET $96.99 109 $10,571.91 $10,640.97 $-88.29
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $96.05 110 $10,565.50
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $95.11 110 $10,462.10 $10,537.57 $-103.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $94.19 111 $10,455.09
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $93.33 111 $10,359.63 $10,442.11 $-95.46
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $94.78 110 $10,425.80
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $93.99 110 $10,338.90 $10,355.21 $-86.90
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $97.07 106 $10,289.42
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $95.39 106 $10,111.87 $10,177.66 $-177.55
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $96.55 105 $10,137.75
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET $95.76 105 $10,054.80 $10,094.71 $-82.95
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $98.82 102 $10,079.64
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $98.01 102 $9,997.02 $10,012.09 $-82.62
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $99.66 100 $9,966.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $98.85 100 $9,884.50 $9,930.59 $-81.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $102.63 96 $9,852.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $101.81 96 $9,773.76 $9,852.35 $-78.24
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET $102.96 95 $9,780.73
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $105.17 95 $9,991.15 $10,062.77 +$210.42
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $106.30 94 $9,992.20
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $105.36 94 $9,903.37 $9,973.94 $-88.83
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $105.04 94 $9,873.76
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $104.18 94 $9,792.92 $9,893.10 $-80.84
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $102.47 96 $9,837.60
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $103.32 96 $9,919.20 $9,974.70 +$81.60
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $101.17 98 $9,914.66
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $102.74 98 $10,068.57 $10,128.61 +$153.91
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $103.54 97 $10,043.38
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $102.49 97 $9,941.77 $10,027.00 $-101.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $101.49 98 $9,945.53
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $100.71 98 $9,869.58 $9,951.05 $-75.95
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
18 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:15am ET $107.72 92 $9,910.24
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:35am ET $106.84 92 $9,829.28 $9,870.09 $-80.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
19 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $110.02 89 $9,791.78
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $109.12 89 $9,711.68 $9,789.99 $-80.10
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
20 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $108.42 90 $9,757.80
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $107.55 90 $9,679.50 $9,711.69 $-78.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
21 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:05am ET $104.38 93 $9,707.34
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:30pm ET $105.96 93 $9,854.28 $9,858.63 +$146.94
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
22 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:15am ET $105.53 93 $9,814.29
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $104.55 93 $9,723.15 $9,767.49 $-91.14
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
23 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:35am ET $104.15 93 $9,685.95
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $102.91 93 $9,570.63 $9,652.17 $-115.32
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
24 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $101.90 94 $9,578.60
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:05am ET $103.54 94 $9,733.23 $9,806.80 +$154.63
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:35am ET $103.62 94 $9,740.28
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $103.19 94 $9,699.85 $9,766.37 $-40.43
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
26 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $103.89 94 $9,765.75
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $102.82 94 $9,665.08 $9,665.70 $-100.67
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $100.76 95 $9,572.67
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $102.37 95 $9,725.15 $9,818.18 +$152.48
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $101.15 97 $9,811.55
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:05am ET $100.35 97 $9,733.95 $9,740.58 $-77.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $100.61 96 $9,658.08
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $99.57 96 $9,558.72 $9,641.22 $-99.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $99.27 97 $9,629.19
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $99.10 97 $9,612.70 $9,624.73 $-16.49
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $99.42 96 $9,543.84
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $98.57 96 $9,463.20 $9,544.09 $-80.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $98.59 96 $9,464.64
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $100.18 96 $9,617.28 $9,696.73 +$152.64
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $100.18 96 $9,617.76
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $101.90 96 $9,782.40 $9,861.37 +$164.64
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $101.43 97 $9,838.71
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET $100.64 97 $9,762.08 $9,784.74 $-76.63
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $101.75 96 $9,768.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $100.90 96 $9,686.40 $9,703.14 $-81.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,703.14
Net Profit/Loss: $-296.86
Total Return: -2.97%
Back to Nina Micro