Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 14:22:49

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.6%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,359.30
Current Value
$10,327.16
Period P&L
$-1,032.19
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
11 / 26
Best Trade
+2.73%
Worst Trade
-2.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
18.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$768,278.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,032.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,032.19
Gross Return
-9.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,359.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $475.20 23 $10,929.49
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $488.14 23 $11,227.33 $11,427.54 +$297.85
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $473.75 24 $11,370.00
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $468.95 24 $11,254.92 $11,312.46 $-115.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $472.22 23 $10,861.06
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $468.63 23 $10,778.49 $11,229.89 $-82.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $474.67 23 $10,917.52
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $470.71 23 $10,826.33 $11,138.70 $-91.19
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET $455.25 24 $10,926.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $451.74 24 $10,841.88 $11,054.58 $-84.12
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $465.63 23 $10,709.49
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $455.33 23 $10,472.59 $10,817.68 $-236.90
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $453.55 23 $10,431.65
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $449.56 23 $10,339.88 $10,725.91 $-91.77
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $467.23 22 $10,279.06
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $463.00 22 $10,186.00 $10,632.85 $-93.06
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $457.69 23 $10,526.87
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $452.77 23 $10,413.71 $10,519.69 $-113.16
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $449.00 23 $10,327.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $456.14 23 $10,491.22 $10,683.91 +$164.22
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $468.09 22 $10,297.98
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $461.85 22 $10,160.70 $10,546.63 $-137.28
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $472.38 22 $10,392.25
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $468.44 22 $10,305.68 $10,460.06 $-86.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $467.33 22 $10,281.26
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $463.78 22 $10,203.16 $10,381.96 $-78.10
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $485.32 21 $10,191.72
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET $480.11 21 $10,082.21 $10,272.45 $-109.51
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $472.92 21 $9,931.32
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $480.42 21 $10,088.82 $10,429.95 +$157.50
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $474.33 21 $9,960.93
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $470.60 21 $9,882.50 $10,351.52 $-78.43
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $460.00 22 $10,120.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $456.38 22 $10,040.36 $10,271.88 $-79.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET $450.93 22 $9,920.57
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $457.90 22 $10,073.80 $10,425.11 +$153.23
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
19 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $456.98 22 $10,053.56
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $452.70 22 $9,959.40 $10,330.95 $-94.16
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
20 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:50am ET $450.58 22 $9,912.76
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 22 $9,806.50 $10,224.69 $-106.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $449.63 22 $9,891.86
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $459.01 22 $10,098.11 $10,430.94 +$206.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
22 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $450.68 23 $10,365.64
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $447.08 23 $10,282.84 $10,348.14 $-82.80
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
23 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $420.25 24 $10,086.00
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:00am ET $427.64 24 $10,263.36 $10,525.50 +$177.36
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
24 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $434.05 24 $10,417.20
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:25am ET $430.13 24 $10,323.12 $10,431.42 $-94.08
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
25 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:25am ET $425.75 24 $10,218.00
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 11:45am ET $421.68 24 $10,120.32 $10,333.74 $-97.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
26 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:45am ET $431.26 23 $9,918.98
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:30pm ET $437.95 23 $10,072.85 $10,487.61 +$153.87
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $435.96 24 $10,463.04
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:50am ET $445.52 24 $10,692.36 $10,716.93 +$229.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
28 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:50am ET $436.61 24 $10,478.64
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.03 24 $10,584.73 $10,823.02 +$106.09
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
29 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $436.17 24 $10,468.08
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $432.42 24 $10,378.08 $10,733.02 $-90.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
30 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:10am ET $419.97 25 $10,499.25
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $420.46 25 $10,511.62 $10,745.39 +$12.37
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $406.57 26 $10,570.69
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $401.18 26 $10,430.68 $10,605.38 $-140.01
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET $400.36 26 $10,409.49
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $406.53 26 $10,569.78 $10,765.67 +$160.29
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:50am ET $422.71 25 $10,567.75
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:50am ET $421.98 25 $10,549.50 $10,747.42 $-18.25
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $426.87 25 $10,671.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $423.48 25 $10,587.00 $10,662.67 $-84.75
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $417.91 25 $10,447.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $414.46 25 $10,361.50 $10,576.42 $-86.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $413.64 25 $10,341.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $407.17 25 $10,179.37 $10,414.79 $-161.63
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $415.40 25 $10,385.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:50am ET $411.89 25 $10,297.37 $10,327.16 $-87.63
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,327.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$327.16
Total Return: +3.27%
Back to Nina Micro