LLY Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 32 trades in period
-6.87%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,491.70
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$12,339.14
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
18.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 18.1
30-Day Momentum
24
+2.7%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.2
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,339.14
Current Value
$11,491.70
Period P&L
$-847.49
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
8 /
24
Best Trade
+3.85%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
19.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$707,371.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-847.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-847.49
Gross Return
-6.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,339.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,058.96 | 11 | $11,648.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1,049.47 | 11 | $11,544.19 | $12,234.77 |
$-104.42 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,034.03 | 11 | $11,374.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,025.61 | 11 | $11,281.71 | $12,142.20 |
$-92.57 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,047.19 | 11 | $11,519.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,038.15 | 11 | $11,419.65 | $12,042.76 |
$-99.44 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,012.35 | 11 | $11,135.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,003.00 | 11 | $11,033.00 | $11,939.86 |
$-102.90 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1,054.67 | 11 | $11,601.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,045.94 | 11 | $11,505.34 | $11,843.88 |
$-95.98 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,042.76 | 11 | $11,470.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,034.00 | 11 | $11,374.00 | $11,747.57 |
$-96.31 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,021.64 | 11 | $11,238.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,013.26 | 11 | $11,145.86 | $11,655.39 |
$-92.18 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,028.22 | 11 | $11,310.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,044.78 | 11 | $11,492.58 | $11,837.55 |
+$182.16 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,018.32 | 11 | $11,201.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,009.57 | 11 | $11,105.22 | $11,741.24 |
$-96.31 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $998.54 | 11 | $10,983.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $991.00 | 11 | $10,901.01 | $11,658.27 |
$-82.97 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $967.49 | 12 | $11,609.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $986.16 | 12 | $11,833.98 | $11,882.37 |
+$224.10 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $994.52 | 11 | $10,939.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $986.49 | 11 | $10,851.39 | $11,794.04 |
$-88.33 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $990.87 | 11 | $10,899.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $983.36 | 11 | $10,816.96 | $11,711.38 |
$-82.66 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $967.03 | 12 | $11,604.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $959.40 | 12 | $11,512.80 | $11,619.82 |
$-91.56 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $911.71 | 12 | $10,940.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $904.63 | 12 | $10,855.50 | $11,534.80 |
$-85.02 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $910.79 | 12 | $10,929.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $902.70 | 12 | $10,832.40 | $11,437.66 |
$-97.14 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $916.59 | 12 | $10,999.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $908.22 | 12 | $10,898.58 | $11,337.10 |
$-100.56 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $895.77 | 12 | $10,749.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $887.85 | 12 | $10,654.20 | $11,242.06 |
$-95.04 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $886.99 | 12 | $10,643.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $909.15 | 12 | $10,909.80 | $11,507.97 |
+$265.91 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $961.21 | 11 | $10,573.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $940.00 | 11 | $10,340.00 | $11,274.71 |
$-233.26 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $928.72 | 12 | $11,144.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $921.44 | 12 | $11,057.28 | $11,187.34 |
$-87.37 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $927.17 | 12 | $11,126.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $941.59 | 12 | $11,299.08 | $11,360.38 |
+$173.04 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $943.91 | 12 | $11,326.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $958.09 | 12 | $11,497.14 | $11,530.60 |
+$170.22 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $939.07 | 12 | $11,268.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $930.56 | 12 | $11,166.72 | $11,428.48 |
$-102.12 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $934.84 | 12 | $11,218.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $927.04 | 12 | $11,124.54 | $11,334.88 |
$-93.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $906.58 | 12 | $10,878.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $925.41 | 12 | $11,104.92 | $11,560.84 |
+$225.96 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $917.47 | 12 | $11,009.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $890.01 | 12 | $10,680.12 | $11,231.38 |
$-329.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $915.73 | 12 | $10,988.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $900.42 | 12 | $10,805.04 | $11,047.60 |
$-183.78 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $879.79 | 12 | $10,557.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $872.84 | 12 | $10,474.08 | $10,964.14 |
$-83.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $860.49 | 12 | $10,325.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $854.00 | 12 | $10,248.00 | $10,886.26 |
$-77.88 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $937.90 | 11 | $10,316.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $973.99 | 11 | $10,713.94 | $11,283.36 |
+$397.10 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $961.35 | 11 | $10,574.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $980.29 | 11 | $10,783.19 | $11,491.70 |
+$208.34 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,491.70
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,491.70
Total Return:
+14.92%