MRNA Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 44 trades in period
-21.94%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,520.46
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$7,072.05
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.8/10
Raw Quality
2.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 2.8
30-Day Momentum
10
-1.8%
30d Return
35%
Win Rate
17
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,844
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,072.05
Current Value
$5,520.46
Period P&L
$-1,551.61
Max Drawdown
-38.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
12 /
32
Best Trade
+4.14%
Worst Trade
-11.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$531,992.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,551.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,551.61
Gross Return
-21.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $7,072.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $41.13 | 171 | $7,033.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $41.77 | 171 | $7,142.67 | $7,181.51 |
+$109.44 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $41.94 | 171 | $7,171.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.12 | 171 | $6,346.67 | $6,356.44 |
$-825.07 (-11.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $42.17 | 150 | $6,326.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $43.00 | 150 | $6,449.59 | $6,479.78 |
+$123.34 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $46.49 | 139 | $6,461.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET | $46.00 | 139 | $6,393.53 | $6,411.60 |
$-68.18 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.15 | 130 | $6,389.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $48.49 | 130 | $6,303.70 | $6,325.80 |
$-85.80 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $51.46 | 122 | $6,277.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $50.99 | 122 | $6,220.78 | $6,269.07 |
$-56.73 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $51.05 | 122 | $6,228.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $50.63 | 122 | $6,177.47 | $6,218.44 |
$-50.63 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $52.11 | 119 | $6,201.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $51.59 | 119 | $6,139.21 | $6,156.56 |
$-61.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.88 | 121 | $6,155.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $51.67 | 121 | $6,252.55 | $6,253.24 |
+$96.68 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $53.58 | 116 | $6,215.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $53.17 | 116 | $6,168.30 | $6,206.26 |
$-46.98 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $49.88 | 124 | $6,185.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.94 | 124 | $6,441.06 | $6,462.20 |
+$255.94 (+4.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.66 | 112 | $6,457.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $56.85 | 112 | $6,367.20 | $6,371.48 |
$-90.72 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $51.15 | 124 | $6,342.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $50.76 | 124 | $6,294.51 | $6,323.39 |
$-48.09 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $52.86 | 119 | $6,290.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $52.40 | 119 | $6,235.60 | $6,268.65 |
$-54.74 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $54.45 | 115 | $6,261.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $55.30 | 115 | $6,359.50 | $6,366.40 |
+$97.75 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:15pm ET | $55.79 | 114 | $6,360.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.34 | 114 | $6,194.76 | $6,200.53 |
$-165.87 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $53.29 | 116 | $6,182.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.66 | 116 | $6,108.56 | $6,126.87 |
$-73.66 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $52.33 | 117 | $6,122.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $51.68 | 117 | $6,046.56 | $6,050.82 |
$-76.05 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $53.91 | 112 | $6,037.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $55.18 | 112 | $6,180.16 | $6,193.06 |
+$142.24 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $52.33 | 118 | $6,175.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.31 | 118 | $6,054.58 | $6,072.11 |
$-120.95 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.76 | 117 | $6,055.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $51.36 | 117 | $6,009.12 | $6,025.31 |
$-46.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.26 | 117 | $5,997.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.34 | 117 | $5,889.78 | $5,917.67 |
$-107.64 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:50pm ET | $53.20 | 111 | $5,905.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $52.79 | 111 | $5,859.69 | $5,872.16 |
$-45.51 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.29 | 110 | $5,861.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.80 | 110 | $5,808.00 | $5,818.26 |
$-53.90 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $49.57 | 117 | $5,799.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $49.00 | 117 | $5,733.00 | $5,751.57 |
$-66.69 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:40am ET | $48.78 | 117 | $5,707.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $48.14 | 117 | $5,632.71 | $5,677.02 |
$-74.55 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.65 | 112 | $5,672.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $50.16 | 112 | $5,617.92 | $5,622.14 |
$-54.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $48.45 | 116 | $5,620.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.30 | 116 | $5,718.80 | $5,720.74 |
+$98.60 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $47.74 | 119 | $5,681.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $48.56 | 119 | $5,778.64 | $5,818.32 |
+$97.58 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $51.54 | 112 | $5,773.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $52.32 | 112 | $5,859.84 | $5,905.12 |
+$86.80 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.18 | 117 | $5,871.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $51.08 | 117 | $5,976.37 | $6,010.43 |
+$105.31 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $51.39 | 116 | $5,961.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $50.90 | 116 | $5,904.40 | $5,953.59 |
$-56.84 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $52.49 | 113 | $5,931.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.76 | 113 | $6,074.88 | $6,097.10 |
+$143.51 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.51 | 113 | $6,046.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.10 | 113 | $6,000.30 | $6,050.77 |
$-46.33 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $54.08 | 111 | $6,002.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $54.93 | 111 | $6,097.23 | $6,145.67 |
+$94.90 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:55pm ET | $54.24 | 113 | $6,129.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.46 | 113 | $5,927.98 | $5,944.53 |
$-201.14 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $55.14 | 107 | $5,900.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:00pm ET | $54.72 | 107 | $5,855.04 | $5,899.08 |
$-45.45 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $54.33 | 108 | $5,868.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $53.91 | 108 | $5,822.28 | $5,853.30 |
$-45.78 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $51.10 | 114 | $5,825.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.70 | 114 | $5,779.80 | $5,807.13 |
$-46.17 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $48.84 | 118 | $5,763.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.28 | 118 | $5,696.45 | $5,740.46 |
$-66.67 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $46.46 | 123 | $5,714.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $45.88 | 123 | $5,643.24 | $5,669.12 |
$-71.34 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $47.18 | 120 | $5,661.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $46.70 | 120 | $5,604.00 | $5,611.52 |
$-57.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $45.10 | 124 | $5,592.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $44.71 | 124 | $5,544.04 | $5,563.16 |
$-48.36 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $47.46 | 117 | $5,552.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $47.10 | 117 | $5,510.12 | $5,520.46 |
$-42.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,520.46
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,479.54
Total Return:
-44.80%