Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 17:03:25

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 28.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 27.9

30-Day Momentum

21
+2.1%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
16
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.4 Conf: 1.00×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,215.12
Current Value
$14,740.50
Period P&L
$2,525.31
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
24 / 23
Best Trade
+6.19%
Worst Trade
-2.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,296,040.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,525.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,525.31
Gross Return
+20.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 47 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,215.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $12.81 953 $12,203.17
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $12.69 953 $12,098.33 $12,110.36 $-104.83
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $11.73 1,032 $12,100.20
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $11.57 1,032 $11,939.93 $11,950.09 $-160.27
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:25am ET $12.64 945 $11,944.80
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $12.83 945 $12,127.66 $12,132.95 +$182.86
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $12.70 955 $12,128.50
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $12.90 955 $12,314.73 $12,319.18 +$186.23
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $13.35 922 $12,308.70
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $13.56 922 $12,506.93 $12,517.41 +$198.23
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.07 779 $12,514.64
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $15.84 779 $12,339.36 $12,342.13 $-175.28
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $16.75 737 $12,341.07
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $17.01 737 $12,536.37 $12,537.43 +$195.30
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $16.88 742 $12,528.60
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $17.14 742 $12,717.88 $12,726.71 +$189.28
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $18.42 690 $12,713.25
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $18.28 690 $12,616.65 $12,630.11 $-96.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $16.68 757 $12,626.76
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $17.03 757 $12,891.71 $12,895.06 +$264.95
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $16.49 781 $12,878.69
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $16.76 781 $13,093.46 $13,109.83 +$214.77
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $17.73 739 $13,102.47
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $18.00 739 $13,301.93 $13,309.29 +$199.46
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $17.53 759 $13,305.27
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $17.80 759 $13,506.41 $13,510.42 +$201.13
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $18.57 727 $13,500.39
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $18.42 727 $13,391.41 $13,401.44 $-108.98
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $18.49 724 $13,386.76
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $18.78 724 $13,600.34 $13,615.02 +$213.58
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $17.24 789 $13,598.42
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:05am ET $17.06 789 $13,460.34 $13,476.94 $-138.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $15.82 851 $13,462.73
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET $15.64 851 $13,309.64 $13,323.85 $-153.09
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $16.81 792 $13,309.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $17.11 792 $13,551.12 $13,565.41 +$241.56
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
19 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $18.55 731 $13,556.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $18.38 731 $13,435.78 $13,444.79 $-120.62
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
20 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $18.30 734 $13,432.20
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $18.68 734 $13,711.19 $13,723.78 +$278.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
21 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:05am ET $22.43 611 $13,707.78
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:50am ET $22.80 611 $13,927.75 $13,943.74 +$219.96
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
22 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $23.43 595 $13,940.91
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $23.22 595 $13,815.90 $13,818.73 $-125.01
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
23 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $24.00 575 $13,800.00
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:40am ET $24.40 575 $14,029.43 $14,048.16 +$229.43
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $24.75 567 $14,030.42
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $24.56 567 $13,922.69 $13,940.43 $-107.73
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
25 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:15am ET $24.43 570 $13,925.10
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $24.83 570 $14,153.10 $14,168.43 +$228.00
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
26 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $24.65 574 $14,149.10
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $24.42 574 $14,017.08 $14,036.41 $-132.02
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
27 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $23.83 589 $14,032.93
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $23.65 589 $13,926.91 $13,930.39 $-106.02
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
28 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $22.29 624 $13,908.96
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:55am ET $22.66 624 $14,139.84 $14,161.27 +$230.88
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
29 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $23.74 596 $14,149.46
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $24.10 596 $14,363.60 $14,375.41 +$214.14
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
30 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.28 592 $14,373.76
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $24.68 592 $14,610.56 $14,612.21 +$236.80
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
31 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $25.89 564 $14,601.23
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $25.58 564 $14,429.94 $14,440.92 $-171.29
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
32 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $26.71 540 $14,423.40
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $27.16 540 $14,666.40 $14,683.92 +$243.00
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
33 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $27.57 532 $14,667.24
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $27.31 532 $14,528.92 $14,545.60 $-138.32
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.47 510 $14,519.70
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.20 510 $14,382.00 $14,407.90 $-137.70
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $27.93 515 $14,383.95
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $27.59 515 $14,209.93 $14,233.88 $-174.02
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.80 512 $14,233.60
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.54 512 $14,100.48 $14,100.76 $-133.12
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $25.68 549 $14,098.32
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $26.11 549 $14,332.36 $14,334.80 +$234.04
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $24.92 575 $14,326.13
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $25.34 575 $14,570.50 $14,579.17 +$244.37
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $24.97 583 $14,557.51
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $24.74 583 $14,423.42 $14,445.08 $-134.09
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $26.75 539 $14,420.94
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.41 539 $15,312.99 $15,337.13 +$892.05
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:10am ET $27.99 547 $15,310.53
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:40am ET $27.74 547 $15,173.78 $15,200.38 $-136.75
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $27.42 554 $15,190.68
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $27.88 554 $15,445.52 $15,455.22 +$254.84
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $28.08 550 $15,444.00
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $27.78 550 $15,277.90 $15,289.12 $-166.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $28.78 531 $15,282.18
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.55 531 $15,160.05 $15,166.99 $-122.13
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $28.23 537 $15,159.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $27.54 537 $14,788.98 $14,796.51 $-370.48
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $26.30 562 $14,780.60
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $25.61 562 $14,395.63 $14,411.54 $-384.97
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET $28.01 514 $14,397.14
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $28.65 514 $14,726.10 $14,740.50 +$328.96
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,740.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,740.50
Total Return: +47.41%
Back to Nina Micro