RIVN Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-26 to present • 43 trades in period
-2.95%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,250.99
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$12,623.02
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
21.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 21.1
30-Day Momentum
55
+7.7%
30d Return
53%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.9
Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,623.02
Current Value
$12,250.99
Period P&L
$-372.10
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
17 /
26
Best Trade
+2.66%
Worst Trade
-6.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
12.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,026,327.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-372.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-372.10
Gross Return
-2.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,623.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $15.15 | 832 | $12,608.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.01 | 832 | $12,488.32 | $12,502.45 |
$-120.64 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $14.65 | 853 | $12,492.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $14.53 | 853 | $12,398.35 | $12,408.62 |
$-93.83 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $15.11 | 820 | $12,394.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $14.97 | 820 | $12,271.30 | $12,285.62 |
$-123.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $15.27 | 804 | $12,281.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.57 | 804 | $12,522.30 | $12,526.82 |
+$241.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.10 | 829 | $12,517.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.90 | 829 | $12,356.24 | $12,365.16 |
$-161.66 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $15.27 | 809 | $12,357.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $15.11 | 809 | $12,228.03 | $12,235.72 |
$-129.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $15.31 | 798 | $12,221.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.58 | 798 | $12,429.65 | $12,444.00 |
+$208.28 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $15.41 | 807 | $12,439.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $15.67 | 807 | $12,645.61 | $12,649.70 |
+$205.70 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $16.06 | 787 | $12,635.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $15.91 | 787 | $12,525.10 | $12,539.52 |
$-110.18 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $16.41 | 764 | $12,533.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $16.68 | 764 | $12,747.34 | $12,753.44 |
+$213.92 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $17.44 | 731 | $12,748.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $17.28 | 731 | $12,631.68 | $12,636.48 |
$-116.96 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $17.23 | 733 | $12,625.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $17.05 | 733 | $12,497.65 | $12,508.20 |
$-128.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $17.80 | 702 | $12,492.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.49 | 702 | $12,277.98 | $12,294.09 |
$-214.11 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.78 | 732 | $12,286.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $16.62 | 732 | $12,165.11 | $12,172.58 |
$-121.51 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $16.60 | 733 | $12,171.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $16.85 | 733 | $12,354.71 | $12,355.83 |
+$183.25 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $16.10 | 767 | $12,352.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.95 | 767 | $12,233.65 | $12,236.95 |
$-118.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $16.53 | 740 | $12,235.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.47 | 740 | $11,447.80 | $11,448.85 |
$-788.10 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.70 | 778 | $11,436.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $14.53 | 778 | $11,306.44 | $11,318.77 |
$-130.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $14.90 | 759 | $11,305.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $14.76 | 759 | $11,199.05 | $11,212.51 |
$-106.26 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $14.50 | 773 | $11,208.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $14.36 | 773 | $11,104.14 | $11,108.15 |
$-104.36 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.88 | 800 | $11,104.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $14.15 | 800 | $11,316.24 | $11,320.39 |
+$212.24 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:10pm ET | $14.23 | 795 | $11,308.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $14.10 | 795 | $11,213.47 | $11,224.99 |
$-95.40 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $14.40 | 779 | $11,221.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.25 | 779 | $11,100.59 | $11,104.09 |
$-120.90 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.06 | 790 | $11,103.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.95 | 790 | $11,019.63 | $11,020.27 |
$-83.82 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.48 | 817 | $11,013.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $13.27 | 817 | $10,841.59 | $10,848.70 |
$-171.57 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $12.77 | 849 | $10,837.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:10pm ET | $12.97 | 849 | $11,007.29 | $11,018.50 |
+$169.80 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $13.42 | 821 | $11,017.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $13.64 | 821 | $11,194.34 | $11,195.02 |
+$176.52 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $14.18 | 789 | $11,184.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.37 | 789 | $11,337.93 | $11,348.87 |
+$153.85 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $14.69 | 772 | $11,336.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $14.93 | 772 | $11,526.04 | $11,538.09 |
+$189.22 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $16.19 | 712 | $11,527.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.58 | 712 | $11,801.40 | $11,812.21 |
+$274.12 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $16.73 | 706 | $11,811.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $17.17 | 706 | $12,125.55 | $12,126.38 |
+$314.17 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $17.85 | 679 | $12,123.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $17.71 | 679 | $12,025.09 | $12,027.92 |
$-98.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $18.14 | 663 | $12,023.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $17.94 | 663 | $11,894.22 | $11,898.64 |
$-129.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $16.27 | 731 | $11,897.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.68 | 731 | $12,193.08 | $12,194.70 |
+$296.06 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.90 | 721 | $12,184.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.55 | 721 | $11,932.55 | $11,942.35 |
$-252.35 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.53 | 768 | $11,927.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $15.37 | 768 | $11,804.39 | $11,819.70 |
$-122.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET | $15.14 | 780 | $11,805.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $15.40 | 780 | $12,012.08 | $12,026.48 |
+$206.78 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $16.83 | 714 | $12,013.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:10pm ET | $16.69 | 714 | $11,919.52 | $11,932.95 |
$-93.53 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $16.66 | 716 | $11,924.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $16.91 | 716 | $12,103.98 | $12,111.95 |
+$179.00 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $16.19 | 748 | $12,110.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $16.48 | 748 | $12,327.04 | $12,328.87 |
+$216.92 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $15.10 | 816 | $12,325.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.90 | 816 | $12,154.32 | $12,157.51 |
$-171.36 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $14.91 | 815 | $12,155.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $14.80 | 815 | $12,057.93 | $12,059.71 |
$-97.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $14.48 | 832 | $12,047.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $14.71 | 832 | $12,238.72 | $12,250.99 |
+$191.28 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,250.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,250.99
Total Return:
+22.51%