RIVN Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 43 trades in period
-10.36%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,212.51
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$12,508.74
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.3/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
17.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 17.4
30-Day Momentum
10
-8.7%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
16
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 1.00×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,867
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,508.74
Current Value
$11,212.51
Period P&L
$-1,296.30
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
13 /
30
Best Trade
+6.03%
Worst Trade
-6.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,054,975.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,296.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,296.30
Gross Return
-10.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.36%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,508.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $14.81 | 844 | $12,495.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.48 | 844 | $12,221.12 | $12,234.51 |
$-274.30 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $15.36 | 796 | $12,230.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $15.24 | 796 | $12,131.04 | $12,135.01 |
$-99.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $14.40 | 843 | $12,134.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $14.68 | 843 | $12,371.03 | $12,371.05 |
+$236.04 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.37 | 712 | $12,367.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $17.10 | 712 | $12,178.05 | $12,181.66 |
$-189.39 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:40am ET | $16.60 | 733 | $12,171.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 12:00pm ET | $16.43 | 733 | $12,043.19 | $12,053.39 |
$-128.27 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 12:00pm ET | $15.24 | 790 | $12,043.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:50pm ET | $15.13 | 790 | $11,952.70 | $11,962.54 |
$-90.85 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $15.13 | 790 | $11,952.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $15.00 | 790 | $11,850.00 | $11,859.84 |
$-102.70 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $15.28 | 776 | $11,857.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $15.10 | 776 | $11,713.72 | $11,716.28 |
$-143.56 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $15.24 | 768 | $11,708.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.54 | 768 | $11,934.72 | $11,942.84 |
+$226.56 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $15.22 | 784 | $11,928.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $15.10 | 784 | $11,834.48 | $11,848.76 |
$-94.08 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $14.93 | 793 | $11,839.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $15.19 | 793 | $12,041.71 | $12,050.98 |
+$202.22 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $15.15 | 795 | $12,040.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $15.39 | 795 | $12,231.15 | $12,241.86 |
+$190.88 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $14.93 | 819 | $12,231.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.62 | 819 | $11,973.78 | $11,984.28 |
$-257.58 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $15.13 | 792 | $11,983.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $15.38 | 792 | $12,180.96 | $12,182.20 |
+$197.92 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $15.63 | 779 | $12,171.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $15.88 | 779 | $12,372.55 | $12,382.87 |
+$200.67 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $16.66 | 743 | $12,378.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.53 | 743 | $12,281.79 | $12,286.21 |
$-96.66 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $16.35 | 751 | $12,282.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $16.22 | 751 | $12,177.47 | $12,181.07 |
$-105.14 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $15.19 | 802 | $12,178.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $15.06 | 802 | $12,082.13 | $12,084.83 |
$-96.24 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $15.31 | 789 | $12,075.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.63 | 789 | $12,332.07 | $12,341.25 |
+$256.42 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $15.59 | 791 | $12,331.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.53 | 791 | $13,075.23 | $13,084.79 |
+$743.54 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $15.35 | 852 | $13,078.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.22 | 852 | $12,967.35 | $12,973.94 |
$-110.85 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $15.98 | 812 | $12,971.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $15.82 | 812 | $12,845.92 | $12,848.16 |
$-125.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $15.56 | 825 | $12,841.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $15.41 | 825 | $12,713.25 | $12,720.29 |
$-127.87 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:00pm ET | $15.69 | 810 | $12,704.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $15.56 | 810 | $12,607.65 | $12,623.09 |
$-97.20 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $15.15 | 832 | $12,608.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.01 | 832 | $12,488.32 | $12,502.45 |
$-120.64 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $14.65 | 853 | $12,492.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $14.53 | 853 | $12,398.35 | $12,408.62 |
$-93.83 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $15.11 | 820 | $12,394.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $14.97 | 820 | $12,271.30 | $12,285.62 |
$-123.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $15.27 | 804 | $12,281.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.57 | 804 | $12,522.30 | $12,526.82 |
+$241.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.10 | 829 | $12,517.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.90 | 829 | $12,356.24 | $12,365.16 |
$-161.66 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $15.27 | 809 | $12,357.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $15.11 | 809 | $12,228.03 | $12,235.72 |
$-129.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $15.31 | 798 | $12,221.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.58 | 798 | $12,429.65 | $12,444.00 |
+$208.28 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $15.41 | 807 | $12,439.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $15.67 | 807 | $12,645.61 | $12,649.70 |
+$205.70 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $16.06 | 787 | $12,635.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $15.91 | 787 | $12,525.10 | $12,539.52 |
$-110.18 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $16.41 | 764 | $12,533.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $16.68 | 764 | $12,747.34 | $12,753.44 |
+$213.92 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $17.44 | 731 | $12,748.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $17.28 | 731 | $12,631.68 | $12,636.48 |
$-116.96 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $17.23 | 733 | $12,625.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $17.05 | 733 | $12,497.65 | $12,508.20 |
$-128.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $17.80 | 702 | $12,492.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.49 | 702 | $12,277.98 | $12,294.09 |
$-214.11 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.78 | 732 | $12,286.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $16.62 | 732 | $12,165.11 | $12,172.58 |
$-121.51 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $16.60 | 733 | $12,171.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $16.85 | 733 | $12,354.71 | $12,355.83 |
+$183.25 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $16.10 | 767 | $12,352.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.95 | 767 | $12,233.65 | $12,236.95 |
$-118.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $16.53 | 740 | $12,235.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.47 | 740 | $11,447.80 | $11,448.85 |
$-788.10 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.70 | 778 | $11,436.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $14.53 | 778 | $11,306.44 | $11,318.77 |
$-130.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $14.90 | 759 | $11,305.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $14.76 | 759 | $11,199.05 | $11,212.51 |
$-106.26 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,212.51
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,212.51
Total Return:
+12.13%