SMCI Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 44 trades in period
-1.59%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,140.30
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$6,239.75
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
5.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 5.5
30-Day Momentum
11
-9.5%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
16
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.4
Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,894
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,239.75
Current Value
$6,140.30
Period P&L
$-99.43
Max Drawdown
-49.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
18 /
26
Best Trade
+4.03%
Worst Trade
-8.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
9.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$596,783.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-99.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-99.43
Gross Return
-1.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.59%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $6,239.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $30.51 | 210 | $6,407.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.74 | 210 | $6,665.61 | $6,676.72 |
+$258.51 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $32.86 | 203 | $6,670.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $33.40 | 203 | $6,781.21 | $6,787.36 |
+$110.63 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $33.92 | 200 | $6,784.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $33.65 | 200 | $6,730.00 | $6,733.36 |
$-54.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.30 | 222 | $6,726.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $29.97 | 222 | $6,652.23 | $6,658.99 |
$-74.37 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:10pm ET | $30.27 | 219 | $6,630.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $30.04 | 219 | $6,578.83 | $6,607.59 |
$-51.40 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $31.23 | 211 | $6,589.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $31.74 | 211 | $6,697.77 | $6,715.83 |
+$108.24 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $31.97 | 210 | $6,713.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $31.72 | 210 | $6,661.20 | $6,663.33 |
$-52.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $30.76 | 216 | $6,645.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $31.25 | 216 | $6,750.00 | $6,768.09 |
+$104.76 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.28 | 203 | $6,755.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $33.03 | 203 | $6,704.08 | $6,716.33 |
$-51.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $32.47 | 206 | $6,687.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $32.22 | 206 | $6,637.34 | $6,665.88 |
$-50.45 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $31.50 | 211 | $6,647.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.78 | 211 | $6,495.63 | $6,513.96 |
$-151.92 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $32.44 | 200 | $6,488.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $33.06 | 200 | $6,612.02 | $6,637.98 |
+$124.02 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $31.50 | 210 | $6,616.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $32.05 | 210 | $6,730.50 | $6,752.43 |
+$114.45 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $30.93 | 218 | $6,742.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $31.50 | 218 | $6,865.98 | $6,875.64 |
+$123.21 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $31.78 | 216 | $6,864.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $32.76 | 216 | $7,077.24 | $7,088.40 |
+$212.76 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.69 | 223 | $7,067.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $31.35 | 223 | $6,991.05 | $7,011.47 |
$-76.93 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $30.78 | 227 | $6,987.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $30.53 | 227 | $6,931.44 | $6,955.85 |
$-55.62 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $31.49 | 220 | $6,926.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $31.99 | 220 | $7,038.50 | $7,067.66 |
+$111.80 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $31.77 | 222 | $7,054.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $31.51 | 222 | $6,995.22 | $7,008.83 |
$-58.83 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $30.35 | 230 | $6,981.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.05 | 230 | $6,911.50 | $6,938.68 |
$-70.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.07 | 314 | $6,928.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.47 | 314 | $7,055.58 | $7,065.85 |
+$127.17 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.79 | 357 | $7,065.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $19.61 | 357 | $7,002.55 | $7,003.37 |
$-62.48 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $21.59 | 324 | $6,996.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $21.41 | 324 | $6,936.87 | $6,943.46 |
$-59.91 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.45 | 296 | $6,942.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:35am ET | $23.88 | 296 | $7,068.48 | $7,069.26 |
+$125.80 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $22.30 | 317 | $7,067.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $22.05 | 317 | $6,989.85 | $6,991.59 |
$-77.67 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $21.77 | 321 | $6,989.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $21.56 | 321 | $6,919.16 | $6,920.97 |
$-70.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $21.16 | 327 | $6,917.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $20.97 | 327 | $6,855.56 | $6,858.84 |
$-62.13 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.00 | 298 | $6,855.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $22.75 | 298 | $6,780.99 | $6,784.34 |
$-74.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $22.99 | 295 | $6,780.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.08 | 295 | $6,810.07 | $6,813.84 |
+$29.50 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.91 | 310 | $6,792.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $22.42 | 310 | $6,950.20 | $6,971.94 |
+$158.10 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $22.97 | 303 | $6,959.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.34 | 303 | $7,072.02 | $7,084.05 |
+$112.11 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.34 | 303 | $7,073.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $23.71 | 303 | $7,184.13 | $7,194.64 |
+$110.59 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $25.07 | 286 | $7,169.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.75 | 286 | $7,078.50 | $7,103.15 |
$-91.49 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.41 | 259 | $7,099.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $27.18 | 259 | $7,040.91 | $7,044.87 |
$-58.28 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.69 | 263 | $7,020.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.17 | 263 | $7,144.40 | $7,168.48 |
+$123.61 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $28.56 | 250 | $7,140.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $28.34 | 250 | $7,085.50 | $7,113.98 |
$-54.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $29.31 | 242 | $7,091.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $28.93 | 242 | $7,000.36 | $7,022.53 |
$-91.45 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $29.10 | 241 | $7,013.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.51 | 241 | $6,388.91 | $6,398.34 |
$-624.19 (-8.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $28.83 | 221 | $6,371.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $29.38 | 221 | $6,491.88 | $6,518.79 |
+$120.45 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $27.97 | 233 | $6,515.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.73 | 233 | $6,226.93 | $6,229.87 |
$-288.92 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.99 | 230 | $6,207.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.58 | 230 | $6,113.40 | $6,135.57 |
$-94.30 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.18 | 225 | $6,116.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.75 | 225 | $6,242.63 | $6,261.57 |
+$126.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $28.03 | 223 | $6,251.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $27.75 | 223 | $6,189.36 | $6,199.13 |
$-62.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.82 | 222 | $6,176.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $27.56 | 222 | $6,117.21 | $6,140.30 |
$-58.83 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,140.30
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,859.70
Total Return:
-38.60%