Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 01:13:57

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.2%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.8 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,764.48
Current Value
$6,492.84
Period P&L
$-1,271.65
Max Drawdown
-38.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
9 / 29
Best Trade
+2.31%
Worst Trade
-8.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
23.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$503,405.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,271.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,271.65
Gross Return
-16.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $7,764.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $492.13 15 $7,381.88
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $485.27 15 $7,279.05 $7,754.59 $-102.83
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $481.17 16 $7,698.72
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $488.65 16 $7,818.40 $7,874.27 +$119.68
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:45am ET $496.95 15 $7,454.18
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $487.50 15 $7,312.50 $7,732.59 $-141.68
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $491.25 15 $7,368.75
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $487.41 15 $7,311.15 $7,674.99 $-57.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $482.04 15 $7,230.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $489.71 15 $7,345.65 $7,790.04 +$115.05
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $501.27 15 $7,518.98
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $497.42 15 $7,461.30 $7,732.36 $-57.68
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $498.71 15 $7,480.65
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $493.47 15 $7,402.05 $7,653.76 $-78.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $527.35 14 $7,382.97
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET $523.27 14 $7,325.78 $7,596.57 $-57.19
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $526.95 14 $7,377.23
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $522.44 14 $7,314.16 $7,533.50 $-63.07
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $529.53 14 $7,413.42
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $525.07 14 $7,350.98 $7,471.06 $-62.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $516.28 14 $7,227.85
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 14 $6,589.31 $6,832.52 $-638.54
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:40am ET $470.18 14 $6,582.52
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $465.35 14 $6,514.90 $6,764.90 $-67.62
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET $464.39 14 $6,501.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $471.63 14 $6,602.82 $6,866.26 +$101.36
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $465.42 14 $6,515.88
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET $472.48 14 $6,614.72 $6,965.10 +$98.84
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:25am ET $473.72 14 $6,632.08
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:30am ET $469.99 14 $6,579.86 $6,912.88 $-52.22
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:30am ET $464.84 14 $6,507.76
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $461.01 14 $6,454.14 $6,859.26 $-53.62
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
17 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:35am ET $473.03 14 $6,622.42
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $469.03 14 $6,566.42 $6,803.26 $-56.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $461.78 14 $6,464.92
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:55am ET $457.71 14 $6,407.94 $6,746.28 $-56.98
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $459.36 14 $6,431.04
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $453.92 14 $6,354.88 $6,670.12 $-76.16
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
20 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:15am ET $454.77 14 $6,366.71
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $451.28 14 $6,317.92 $6,621.33 $-48.79
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $441.45 14 $6,180.30
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 2:55pm ET $437.86 14 $6,130.04 $6,571.07 $-50.26
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
22 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $448.52 14 $6,279.28
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $440.00 14 $6,160.06 $6,451.85 $-119.22
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
23 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $444.44 14 $6,222.16
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $451.19 14 $6,316.66 $6,546.35 +$94.50
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
24 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $446.67 14 $6,253.38
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $445.31 14 $6,234.34 $6,527.31 $-19.04
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
25 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $448.24 14 $6,275.36
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $455.59 14 $6,378.26 $6,630.21 +$102.90
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
26 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $486.17 13 $6,320.21
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $482.22 13 $6,268.86 $6,578.86 $-51.35
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $490.88 13 $6,381.44
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $484.29 13 $6,295.77 $6,493.19 $-85.67
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $485.77 13 $6,315.01
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $481.50 13 $6,259.50 $6,437.68 $-55.51
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $470.89 13 $6,121.63
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $481.75 13 $6,262.75 $6,578.80 +$141.12
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $474.46 13 $6,167.98
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $470.71 13 $6,119.29 $6,530.12 $-48.68
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $472.22 13 $6,138.86
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $480.98 13 $6,252.74 $6,644.00 +$113.88
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $486.59 13 $6,325.67
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $482.78 13 $6,276.14 $6,594.47 $-49.53
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $472.76 13 $6,145.88
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $469.10 13 $6,098.30 $6,546.89 $-47.58
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $471.43 13 $6,128.59
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $466.89 13 $6,069.57 $6,487.87 $-59.02
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $461.74 14 $6,464.43
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $461.00 14 $6,454.00 $6,477.44 $-10.43
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:50am ET $467.07 13 $6,071.91
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:50am ET $463.01 13 $6,019.13 $6,424.66 $-52.78
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $487.12 13 $6,332.56
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $495.90 13 $6,446.70 $6,538.80 +$114.14
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET $508.36 12 $6,100.38
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:55am ET $504.54 12 $6,054.42 $6,492.84 $-45.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,492.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,507.16
Total Return: -35.07%
Back to Nina Micro