USO Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-27 to present • 41 trades in period
-18.34%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,732.95
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$18,042.41
Period Start
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.
Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
34.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 34.6
30-Day Momentum
10
-14.2%
30d Return
15%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$18,042.41
Current Value
$14,732.95
Period P&L
$-3,309.49
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
13 /
28
Best Trade
+3.72%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,447,446.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,309.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,309.49
Gross Return
-18.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.34%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $18,042.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $121.38 | 148 | $17,964.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $123.25 | 148 | $18,241.01 | $18,319.22 |
+$276.78 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $127.97 | 143 | $18,299.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $129.99 | 143 | $18,589.28 | $18,608.78 |
+$289.56 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $126.96 | 146 | $18,535.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.78 | 146 | $18,217.88 | $18,291.23 |
$-317.55 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $134.47 | 136 | $18,288.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $137.06 | 136 | $18,640.61 | $18,643.45 |
+$352.22 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $137.96 | 135 | $18,624.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $140.38 | 135 | $18,951.30 | $18,970.15 |
+$326.70 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $140.29 | 135 | $18,939.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $138.28 | 135 | $18,667.80 | $18,698.13 |
$-272.02 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $127.98 | 146 | $18,685.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $126.13 | 146 | $18,414.98 | $18,428.04 |
$-270.09 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:55pm ET | $126.54 | 145 | $18,348.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $125.36 | 145 | $18,177.08 | $18,256.82 |
$-171.22 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $129.38 | 141 | $18,242.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $127.74 | 141 | $18,011.34 | $18,025.58 |
$-231.24 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.15 | 146 | $17,979.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $125.17 | 146 | $18,274.09 | $18,320.30 |
+$294.72 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $127.12 | 144 | $18,305.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $125.87 | 144 | $18,125.28 | $18,140.30 |
$-180.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $121.87 | 148 | $18,036.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $124.04 | 148 | $18,358.66 | $18,462.21 |
+$321.91 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $129.73 | 142 | $18,421.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $131.84 | 142 | $18,721.42 | $18,761.99 |
+$299.78 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $133.31 | 140 | $18,663.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $132.30 | 140 | $18,522.01 | $18,620.60 |
$-141.39 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $134.33 | 138 | $18,537.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.33 | 138 | $19,227.53 | $19,310.57 |
+$689.97 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $149.27 | 129 | $19,255.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.58 | 129 | $18,908.51 | $18,963.25 |
$-347.32 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.40 | 132 | $18,928.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.88 | 132 | $18,595.50 | $18,629.95 |
$-333.30 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $147.39 | 126 | $18,570.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.92 | 126 | $18,133.92 | $18,192.92 |
$-437.03 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.51 | 134 | $18,158.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $133.61 | 134 | $17,903.74 | $17,938.32 |
$-254.60 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $127.45 | 140 | $17,842.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $129.51 | 140 | $18,131.40 | $18,226.73 |
+$288.41 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $134.53 | 135 | $18,161.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $133.48 | 135 | $18,019.13 | $18,084.47 |
$-142.26 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 12:20pm ET | $143.41 | 126 | $18,069.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $141.86 | 126 | $17,874.36 | $17,889.17 |
$-195.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $142.12 | 125 | $17,764.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.51 | 125 | $18,188.13 | $18,312.92 |
+$423.75 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.02 | 125 | $18,253.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $148.37 | 125 | $18,546.25 | $18,606.05 |
+$293.13 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:40pm ET | $151.58 | 122 | $18,492.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.45 | 122 | $18,233.19 | $18,346.48 |
$-259.57 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $147.15 | 124 | $18,246.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $145.62 | 124 | $18,056.88 | $18,156.76 |
$-189.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $141.18 | 128 | $18,071.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $139.39 | 128 | $17,841.92 | $17,927.64 |
$-229.12 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $137.17 | 130 | $17,832.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.43 | 130 | $17,085.90 | $17,181.44 |
$-746.20 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $130.40 | 131 | $17,083.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $129.35 | 131 | $16,944.85 | $17,043.24 |
$-138.20 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $127.13 | 134 | $17,034.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:45pm ET | $129.05 | 134 | $17,292.70 | $17,301.19 |
+$257.95 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.27 | 127 | $17,179.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $134.25 | 127 | $17,049.75 | $17,171.02 |
$-130.17 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $140.64 | 122 | $17,157.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.74 | 122 | $16,682.28 | $16,695.82 |
$-475.20 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.04 | 123 | $16,609.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $133.62 | 123 | $16,435.26 | $16,521.77 |
$-174.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET | $135.22 | 122 | $16,496.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.87 | 122 | $16,088.14 | $16,113.07 |
$-408.70 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $134.88 | 119 | $16,050.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $133.51 | 119 | $15,888.28 | $15,950.78 |
$-162.29 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.25 | 125 | $15,905.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $126.26 | 125 | $15,782.50 | $15,827.65 |
$-123.13 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $119.59 | 132 | $15,785.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $121.43 | 132 | $16,028.76 | $16,070.53 |
+$242.88 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $115.26 | 139 | $16,021.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $114.40 | 139 | $15,901.60 | $15,950.30 |
$-120.23 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $114.65 | 139 | $15,936.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.67 | 139 | $15,661.13 | $15,675.08 |
$-275.22 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.91 | 141 | $15,638.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.45 | 141 | $15,009.45 | $15,046.22 |
$-628.86 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:10pm ET | $108.39 | 138 | $14,957.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.12 | 138 | $14,644.55 | $14,732.95 |
$-313.27 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,732.95
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,732.95
Total Return:
+47.33%