Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
3.7/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 33.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.3

30-Day Momentum

40
+3.8%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.5 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,835
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,080.24
Current Value
$12,801.56
Period P&L
$-278.62
Max Drawdown
-8.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+1.92%
Worst Trade
-1.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$570,950.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-278.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-278.62
Gross Return
-2.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,080.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $342.86 38 $13,028.68
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.92 38 $13,031.15 $13,082.65 +$2.47
(+0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $336.12 38 $12,772.56
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $337.09 38 $12,809.42 $13,119.51 +$36.86
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $339.38 38 $12,896.44
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET $336.57 38 $12,789.47 $13,012.54 $-106.97
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET $338.17 38 $12,850.65
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET $338.61 38 $12,867.18 $13,029.07 +$16.53
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $338.83 38 $12,875.54
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $333.36 38 $12,667.68 $12,821.21 $-207.86
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET $335.44 38 $12,746.72
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $332.04 38 $12,617.33 $12,691.82 $-129.39
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $328.35 38 $12,477.35
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $333.55 38 $12,674.90 $12,889.37 +$197.55
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $333.66 38 $12,679.08
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $330.28 38 $12,550.45 $12,760.74 $-128.63
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $328.49 38 $12,482.62
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $325.89 38 $12,383.63 $12,661.75 $-98.99
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $329.34 38 $12,514.92
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $326.72 38 $12,415.36 $12,562.19 $-99.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $323.90 38 $12,308.20
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $321.47 38 $12,215.86 $12,469.85 $-92.34
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $325.26 38 $12,359.88
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $321.85 38 $12,230.31 $12,340.28 $-129.57
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $324.33 38 $12,324.54
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $321.63 38 $12,221.94 $12,237.68 $-102.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $315.26 38 $11,979.88
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $312.75 38 $11,884.50 $12,142.30 $-95.38
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $311.42 38 $11,833.96
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $316.54 38 $12,028.52 $12,336.86 +$194.56
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $324.18 38 $12,318.84
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $319.04 38 $12,123.52 $12,141.54 $-195.32
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $324.19 37 $11,995.03
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $321.72 37 $11,903.64 $12,050.15 $-91.39
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $332.66 36 $11,975.76
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $334.27 36 $12,033.72 $12,108.11 +$57.96
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $342.02 35 $11,970.70
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $348.59 35 $12,200.56 $12,337.97 +$229.86
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $349.71 35 $12,239.85
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $350.69 35 $12,274.17 $12,372.29 +$34.32
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $351.75 35 $12,311.25
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $352.43 35 $12,335.22 $12,396.26 +$23.97
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $350.05 35 $12,251.58
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $355.99 35 $12,459.82 $12,604.51 +$208.25
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
23 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $354.87 35 $12,420.45
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $360.50 35 $12,617.50 $12,801.56 +$197.05
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,801.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,801.56
Total Return: +28.02%
Back to Nina Micro