VXX Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 44 trades in period
+15.66%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,358.38
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$8,955.60
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
5.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
10.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.7
30-Day Momentum
43
+5.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.9
Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,881
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,955.60
Current Value
$10,358.38
Period P&L
$1,402.80
Max Drawdown
-30.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
20 /
24
Best Trade
+4.51%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$861,899.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,402.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,402.80
Gross Return
+15.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.66%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $8,955.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.06 | 319 | $8,951.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.84 | 319 | $8,880.96 | $8,885.40 |
$-70.18 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.18 | 326 | $8,860.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.98 | 326 | $8,793.85 | $8,818.57 |
$-66.83 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $26.74 | 329 | $8,797.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.17 | 329 | $8,938.93 | $8,960.04 |
+$141.47 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $29.23 | 306 | $8,944.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $28.98 | 306 | $8,866.35 | $8,882.01 |
$-78.03 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $27.70 | 320 | $8,865.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $28.14 | 320 | $9,004.80 | $9,021.21 |
+$139.20 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:10pm ET | $29.14 | 309 | $9,002.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.58 | 309 | $9,140.22 | $9,158.71 |
+$137.50 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $28.04 | 326 | $9,141.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $28.49 | 326 | $9,288.75 | $9,306.42 |
+$147.71 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $28.89 | 322 | $9,300.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $28.56 | 322 | $9,196.32 | $9,201.77 |
$-104.65 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.88 | 330 | $9,198.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $27.64 | 330 | $9,121.30 | $9,124.32 |
$-77.45 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.82 | 328 | $9,123.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.07 | 328 | $9,534.96 | $9,535.96 |
+$411.64 (+4.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $29.34 | 325 | $9,535.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $29.04 | 325 | $9,438.00 | $9,438.43 |
$-97.53 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $31.54 | 299 | $9,430.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:55am ET | $31.25 | 299 | $9,343.75 | $9,351.72 |
$-86.71 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $29.15 | 320 | $9,326.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.40 | 320 | $9,728.00 | $9,753.32 |
+$401.60 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $32.97 | 295 | $9,726.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:35am ET | $33.49 | 295 | $9,881.02 | $9,908.19 |
+$154.87 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $35.09 | 282 | $9,895.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $34.57 | 282 | $9,748.74 | $9,761.55 |
$-146.64 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $30.87 | 316 | $9,754.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $32.02 | 316 | $10,118.32 | $10,124.95 |
+$363.40 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:45pm ET | $33.01 | 306 | $10,101.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $32.66 | 306 | $9,993.96 | $10,017.85 |
$-107.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.55 | 298 | $9,997.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $33.10 | 298 | $9,863.80 | $9,883.75 |
$-134.10 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $33.24 | 297 | $9,871.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $32.78 | 297 | $9,737.14 | $9,749.00 |
$-134.75 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $31.65 | 308 | $9,748.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $32.18 | 308 | $9,911.44 | $9,912.24 |
+$163.24 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $33.99 | 291 | $9,892.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $33.67 | 291 | $9,799.42 | $9,819.12 |
$-93.12 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 2:00pm ET | $34.29 | 286 | $9,806.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 2:15pm ET | $33.97 | 286 | $9,716.85 | $9,729.03 |
$-90.09 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.70 | 288 | $9,705.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $33.41 | 288 | $9,622.08 | $9,645.51 |
$-83.52 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $34.17 | 282 | $9,637.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $34.71 | 282 | $9,788.22 | $9,796.38 |
+$150.87 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:45pm ET | $34.37 | 285 | $9,794.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.03 | 285 | $9,983.55 | $9,985.90 |
+$189.52 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $37.72 | 264 | $9,958.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $37.27 | 264 | $9,839.28 | $9,866.78 |
$-119.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $38.09 | 259 | $9,865.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $38.74 | 259 | $10,033.66 | $10,035.13 |
+$168.35 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm ET | $37.12 | 270 | $10,021.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $36.27 | 270 | $9,792.90 | $9,806.98 |
$-228.15 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET | $34.40 | 285 | $9,804.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $34.92 | 285 | $9,952.20 | $9,955.18 |
+$148.20 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $35.17 | 283 | $9,954.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $34.78 | 283 | $9,842.74 | $9,843.39 |
$-111.79 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $33.94 | 289 | $9,810.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.65 | 289 | $10,013.85 | $10,047.14 |
+$203.75 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.55 | 318 | $10,032.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $32.07 | 318 | $10,198.29 | $10,212.50 |
+$165.36 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $31.60 | 323 | $10,208.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $31.34 | 323 | $10,122.98 | $10,127.07 |
$-85.43 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $30.79 | 328 | $10,099.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $30.51 | 328 | $10,007.28 | $10,034.77 |
$-92.30 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $28.84 | 347 | $10,007.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $29.30 | 347 | $10,165.37 | $10,192.76 |
+$157.99 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $29.33 | 347 | $10,179.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $29.95 | 347 | $10,394.38 | $10,407.90 |
+$215.14 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $28.65 | 363 | $10,398.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $28.43 | 363 | $10,320.09 | $10,329.85 |
$-78.05 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $29.48 | 350 | $10,316.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $29.92 | 350 | $10,472.00 | $10,485.60 |
+$155.75 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $29.51 | 355 | $10,477.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $30.09 | 355 | $10,681.95 | $10,689.73 |
+$204.13 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.45 | 362 | $10,660.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $29.19 | 362 | $10,566.78 | $10,595.61 |
$-94.12 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $28.99 | 365 | $10,579.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $28.73 | 365 | $10,486.45 | $10,502.53 |
$-93.08 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $28.84 | 364 | $10,497.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $28.61 | 364 | $10,414.04 | $10,418.81 |
$-83.72 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $27.83 | 374 | $10,408.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $28.26 | 374 | $10,569.24 | $10,579.18 |
+$160.37 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $28.69 | 368 | $10,557.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.09 | 368 | $10,337.12 | $10,358.38 |
$-220.80 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,358.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$358.38
Total Return:
+3.58%