XLE Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-27 to present • 34 trades in period
-3.27%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,114.97
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$14,592.06
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.2/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
40.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 40.2
30-Day Momentum
9
-6.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,592.06
Current Value
$14,114.97
Period P&L
$-477.18
Max Drawdown
-8.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
14 /
20
Best Trade
+1.71%
Worst Trade
-3.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,000,251.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-477.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-477.18
Gross Return
-3.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $14,592.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $62.58 | 233 | $14,579.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $62.56 | 233 | $14,575.32 | $14,587.48 |
$-4.66 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $60.48 | 241 | $14,575.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $59.99 | 241 | $14,456.39 | $14,468.19 |
$-119.29 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.51 | 243 | $14,462.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $59.06 | 243 | $14,350.37 | $14,356.41 |
$-111.78 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $59.51 | 241 | $14,343.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $60.46 | 241 | $14,569.66 | $14,582.95 |
+$226.54 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.35 | 258 | $14,537.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $57.22 | 258 | $14,762.76 | $14,808.70 |
+$225.75 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $58.72 | 252 | $14,796.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $58.22 | 252 | $14,671.44 | $14,683.96 |
$-124.74 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $56.83 | 258 | $14,660.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $57.21 | 258 | $14,760.18 | $14,783.29 |
+$99.33 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $55.68 | 265 | $14,755.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.63 | 265 | $15,006.95 | $15,035.04 |
+$251.75 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.12 | 277 | $14,989.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $53.62 | 277 | $14,851.36 | $14,896.54 |
$-138.50 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $55.42 | 268 | $14,852.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $54.99 | 268 | $14,738.66 | $14,782.64 |
$-113.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $56.37 | 262 | $14,767.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.25 | 262 | $14,999.50 | $15,014.51 |
+$231.87 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET | $57.93 | 259 | $15,003.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $58.80 | 259 | $15,229.20 | $15,239.84 |
+$225.33 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $59.51 | 256 | $15,235.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.88 | 256 | $15,074.56 | $15,078.56 |
$-161.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $59.26 | 254 | $15,050.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.46 | 254 | $14,594.84 | $14,622.63 |
$-455.93 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.74 | 262 | $14,602.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $55.19 | 262 | $14,458.47 | $14,478.53 |
$-144.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $55.99 | 258 | $14,446.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.76 | 258 | $14,642.79 | $14,674.61 |
+$196.08 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $57.70 | 254 | $14,655.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.24 | 254 | $14,537.69 | $14,556.50 |
$-118.11 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $57.79 | 251 | $14,506.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.78 | 251 | $14,752.53 | $14,802.48 |
+$245.98 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.76 | 251 | $14,747.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $59.65 | 251 | $14,970.90 | $15,025.87 |
+$223.39 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $60.60 | 247 | $14,966.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.54 | 247 | $15,200.38 | $15,259.28 |
+$233.41 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $59.74 | 255 | $15,232.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.07 | 255 | $15,062.85 | $15,089.70 |
$-169.58 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $58.96 | 255 | $15,033.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.84 | 255 | $15,004.20 | $15,060.37 |
$-29.33 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.93 | 264 | $15,029.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $56.35 | 264 | $14,877.72 | $14,908.54 |
$-151.83 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $57.28 | 260 | $14,891.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $58.13 | 260 | $15,115.10 | $15,132.14 |
+$223.60 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 2:45pm ET | $58.78 | 257 | $15,106.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.20 | 257 | $14,957.40 | $14,983.08 |
$-149.06 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.67 | 255 | $14,962.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $58.20 | 255 | $14,841.00 | $14,861.96 |
$-121.12 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $58.60 | 253 | $14,827.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $58.15 | 253 | $14,710.69 | $14,745.58 |
$-116.38 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $57.18 | 257 | $14,695.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $58.06 | 257 | $14,921.42 | $14,971.74 |
+$226.16 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.26 | 256 | $14,914.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $57.62 | 256 | $14,750.72 | $14,807.90 |
$-163.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:35pm ET | $57.58 | 257 | $14,796.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.45 | 257 | $14,250.65 | $14,261.78 |
$-546.13 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.18 | 258 | $14,236.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $54.72 | 258 | $14,117.76 | $14,143.10 |
$-118.68 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $53.72 | 263 | $14,128.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.73 | 263 | $14,130.99 | $14,145.73 |
+$2.63 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $54.44 | 259 | $14,101.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.51 | 259 | $13,859.09 | $13,903.56 |
$-242.17 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.15 | 261 | $13,872.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $53.96 | 261 | $14,083.56 | $14,114.97 |
+$211.41 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,114.97
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,114.97
Total Return:
+41.15%