Compendium › Nina Micro › XLF
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLF
Alpaca Tradeable

Nina Micro's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 27 trades in period

-3.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,875.12
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$13,365.55
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.9/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 37.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.6

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.8 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,849
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,365.55
Current Value
$12,875.12
Period P&L
$-490.39
Max Drawdown
-6.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+2.84%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$702,788.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-490.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-490.39
Gross Return
-3.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,365.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $54.10 247 $13,362.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:20am ET $54.21 247 $13,389.85 $13,392.66 +$27.15
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET $53.67 249 $13,365.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $53.22 249 $13,251.78 $13,279.37 $-113.29
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET $51.97 255 $13,252.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:45am ET $52.11 255 $13,288.05 $13,315.07 +$35.70
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET $50.94 261 $13,296.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $50.38 261 $13,147.88 $13,166.30 $-148.77
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $51.72 254 $13,136.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $52.50 254 $13,335.00 $13,364.42 +$198.12
(+1.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $51.49 259 $13,337.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $51.09 259 $13,232.65 $13,259.86 $-104.56
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.35 258 $13,249.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $50.35 258 $12,990.30 $13,000.57 $-259.29
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $51.24 253 $12,962.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.49 253 $12,775.23 $12,813.35 $-187.22
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $50.03 256 $12,807.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $49.41 256 $12,648.96 $12,654.63 $-158.72
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $49.87 253 $12,615.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $50.63 253 $12,809.34 $12,848.12 +$193.49
(+1.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $49.42 259 $12,801.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $48.98 259 $12,685.82 $12,732.87 $-115.25
(-0.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET $49.24 258 $12,705.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $48.87 258 $12,608.46 $12,636.12 $-96.75
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.15 257 $12,630.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $50.01 257 $12,853.85 $12,859.68 +$223.56
(+1.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $49.38 260 $12,838.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $48.98 260 $12,735.37 $12,756.25 $-103.43
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $49.01 260 $12,741.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.80 260 $12,948.00 $12,962.95 +$206.70
(+1.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $48.87 265 $12,950.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $49.80 265 $13,197.00 $13,209.40 +$246.45
(+1.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $49.22 268 $13,190.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $48.64 268 $13,035.52 $13,053.96 $-155.44
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $48.58 268 $13,018.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $48.19 268 $12,915.00 $12,950.86 $-103.10
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $49.38 262 $12,938.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.80 262 $12,785.60 $12,797.59 $-153.27
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $49.83 256 $12,755.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.24 256 $13,117.41 $13,159.80 +$362.21
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $50.87 258 $13,124.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $50.53 258 $13,036.74 $13,072.08 $-87.72
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $51.79 252 $13,052.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:20am ET $52.58 252 $13,251.42 $13,271.16 +$199.08
(+1.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $52.54 252 $13,240.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $52.15 252 $13,140.54 $13,171.62 $-99.54
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $51.88 253 $13,124.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $51.46 253 $13,018.12 $13,065.36 $-106.26
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $51.47 253 $13,021.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $51.79 253 $13,102.87 $13,146.32 +$80.96
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $51.90 253 $13,129.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $51.47 253 $13,021.91 $13,038.80 $-107.52
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $52.38 248 $12,990.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $51.72 248 $12,826.56 $12,875.12 $-163.68
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,875.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,875.12
Total Return: +28.75%
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