XLK Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 32 trades in period
-6.54%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,934.70
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$12,769.19
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
25.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 25.0
30-Day Momentum
40
+4.0%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.4
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,867
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,769.19
Current Value
$11,934.70
Period P&L
$-834.48
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
11 /
21
Best Trade
+2.20%
Worst Trade
-2.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
23.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$771,943.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-834.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-834.48
Gross Return
-6.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,769.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $135.64 | 95 | $12,885.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.63 | 95 | $13,169.85 | $13,185.27 |
+$284.05 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $143.46 | 91 | $13,055.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $143.47 | 91 | $13,055.78 | $13,185.73 |
+$0.46 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $142.55 | 92 | $13,114.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $141.48 | 92 | $13,016.16 | $13,087.29 |
$-98.44 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.45 | 94 | $13,013.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $137.37 | 94 | $12,912.78 | $12,986.24 |
$-101.05 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:45pm ET | $141.78 | 91 | $12,902.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $140.66 | 91 | $12,800.08 | $12,883.92 |
$-102.32 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $139.60 | 92 | $12,843.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.38 | 92 | $12,914.96 | $12,955.68 |
+$71.76 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $140.31 | 92 | $12,908.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $142.61 | 92 | $13,120.12 | $13,167.28 |
+$211.60 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $141.90 | 92 | $13,054.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $140.56 | 92 | $12,931.52 | $13,044.46 |
$-122.82 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $139.40 | 93 | $12,964.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $138.32 | 93 | $12,863.30 | $12,943.56 |
$-100.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $139.26 | 92 | $12,811.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.24 | 92 | $12,534.08 | $12,665.72 |
$-277.84 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $140.15 | 90 | $12,613.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $139.08 | 90 | $12,517.20 | $12,569.87 |
$-95.85 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $138.60 | 90 | $12,474.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $137.44 | 90 | $12,369.60 | $12,465.02 |
$-104.85 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $140.37 | 88 | $12,352.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.24 | 88 | $12,253.12 | $12,365.58 |
$-99.44 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $138.01 | 89 | $12,282.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $136.82 | 89 | $12,177.42 | $12,260.12 |
$-105.46 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $139.07 | 88 | $12,238.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.49 | 88 | $11,923.56 | $11,945.52 |
$-314.60 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $137.37 | 86 | $11,813.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $136.27 | 86 | $11,719.65 | $11,851.35 |
$-94.17 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $138.45 | 85 | $11,767.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $136.82 | 85 | $11,629.70 | $11,713.23 |
$-138.13 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $136.23 | 85 | $11,579.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.73 | 85 | $11,452.05 | $11,585.73 |
$-127.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.62 | 88 | $11,582.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $130.50 | 88 | $11,484.00 | $11,486.95 |
$-98.78 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $129.00 | 89 | $11,481.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $128.03 | 89 | $11,394.67 | $11,400.62 |
$-86.33 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $135.67 | 84 | $11,396.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $134.41 | 84 | $11,290.44 | $11,294.78 |
$-105.84 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $136.28 | 82 | $11,174.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $135.03 | 82 | $11,072.46 | $11,192.28 |
$-102.50 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $141.53 | 79 | $11,181.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $140.44 | 79 | $11,094.76 | $11,106.03 |
$-86.25 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $142.54 | 77 | $10,975.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $143.61 | 77 | $11,057.97 | $11,188.42 |
+$82.39 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $147.13 | 76 | $11,182.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $149.37 | 76 | $11,351.74 | $11,357.90 |
+$169.48 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $151.54 | 74 | $11,213.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.01 | 74 | $11,396.74 | $11,540.68 |
+$182.78 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $153.67 | 75 | $11,525.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.41 | 75 | $11,730.75 | $11,746.18 |
+$205.50 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.57 | 75 | $11,742.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $155.39 | 75 | $11,654.25 | $11,657.68 |
$-88.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $159.71 | 72 | $11,498.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $159.83 | 72 | $11,507.76 | $11,666.68 |
+$9.00 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $157.89 | 73 | $11,525.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.35 | 73 | $11,705.55 | $11,846.26 |
+$179.58 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $162.49 | 72 | $11,699.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $161.10 | 72 | $11,599.20 | $11,746.18 |
$-100.08 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $165.70 | 70 | $11,598.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $168.39 | 70 | $11,787.30 | $11,934.70 |
+$188.52 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,934.70
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,934.70
Total Return:
+19.35%