SPY Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 46 trades in period
-1.08%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,562.75
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$12,700.57
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.1/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality
36.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 35.7
30-Day Momentum
36
+3.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.3
Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,579
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,700.57
Current Value
$12,562.75
Period P&L
$-137.79
Max Drawdown
-8.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
18 /
28
Best Trade
+1.97%
Worst Trade
-1.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,157,182.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-137.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-137.79
Gross Return
-1.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.08%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,700.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:15am ET | $677.01 | 18 | $12,186.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $671.92 | 18 | $12,094.56 | $12,584.98 |
$-91.62 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $664.72 | 18 | $11,964.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $677.80 | 18 | $12,200.40 | $12,820.42 |
+$235.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $680.07 | 18 | $12,241.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 11:35am ET | $674.82 | 18 | $12,146.76 | $12,726.01 |
$-94.41 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $672.59 | 18 | $12,106.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $668.56 | 18 | $12,034.08 | $12,653.47 |
$-72.54 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET | $660.92 | 19 | $12,557.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $673.33 | 19 | $12,793.27 | $12,889.36 |
+$235.89 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $654.61 | 19 | $12,437.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $665.03 | 19 | $12,635.49 | $13,087.26 |
+$197.90 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $667.38 | 19 | $12,680.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $678.29 | 19 | $12,887.42 | $13,294.37 |
+$207.12 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:20pm ET | $682.35 | 19 | $12,964.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 12:20pm ET | $681.79 | 19 | $12,953.99 | $13,283.72 |
$-10.66 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:25pm ET | $681.04 | 19 | $12,939.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:25pm ET | $686.55 | 19 | $13,044.45 | $13,388.41 |
+$104.69 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET | $682.11 | 19 | $12,960.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:55pm ET | $687.96 | 19 | $13,071.24 | $13,499.56 |
+$111.15 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 2:10pm ET | $681.74 | 19 | $12,953.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 2:10pm ET | $680.80 | 19 | $12,935.20 | $13,481.70 |
$-17.86 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:15am ET | $678.30 | 19 | $12,887.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:15pm ET | $673.21 | 19 | $12,790.90 | $13,384.85 |
$-96.84 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 2:15pm ET | $677.04 | 19 | $12,863.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $683.67 | 19 | $12,989.73 | $13,510.82 |
+$125.97 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $689.91 | 19 | $13,108.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:10am ET | $687.10 | 19 | $13,054.89 | $13,457.43 |
$-53.40 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $686.92 | 19 | $13,051.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $684.35 | 19 | $13,002.65 | $13,408.60 |
$-48.83 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $688.58 | 19 | $13,083.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:55pm ET | $690.09 | 19 | $13,111.71 | $13,437.29 |
+$28.69 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $693.68 | 19 | $13,179.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:10pm ET | $694.95 | 19 | $13,203.96 | $13,461.42 |
+$24.13 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $693.35 | 19 | $13,173.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $688.12 | 19 | $13,074.28 | $13,362.04 |
$-99.37 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $694.39 | 19 | $13,193.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $682.65 | 19 | $12,970.35 | $13,138.98 |
$-223.06 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $681.86 | 19 | $12,955.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $691.28 | 19 | $13,134.32 | $13,317.96 |
+$178.98 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $695.77 | 19 | $13,219.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $690.39 | 19 | $13,117.41 | $13,215.74 |
$-102.22 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $691.75 | 19 | $13,143.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $695.15 | 19 | $13,207.85 | $13,280.34 |
+$64.60 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $691.61 | 19 | $13,140.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $686.36 | 19 | $13,040.84 | $13,180.50 |
$-99.85 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $680.78 | 19 | $12,934.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $691.05 | 19 | $13,129.95 | $13,375.63 |
+$195.13 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $694.80 | 19 | $13,201.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $694.70 | 19 | $13,199.30 | $13,373.73 |
$-1.90 (-0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $680.25 | 19 | $12,924.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $681.99 | 19 | $12,957.81 | $13,406.79 |
+$33.06 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $687.72 | 19 | $13,066.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $682.43 | 19 | $12,966.17 | $13,306.28 |
$-100.51 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $687.23 | 19 | $13,057.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $683.91 | 19 | $12,994.20 | $13,243.11 |
$-63.17 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $685.03 | 19 | $13,015.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $675.20 | 19 | $12,828.80 | $13,056.34 |
$-186.77 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $686.13 | 19 | $13,036.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $680.27 | 19 | $12,925.13 | $12,945.00 |
$-111.34 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $674.40 | 19 | $12,813.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $666.94 | 19 | $12,671.86 | $12,803.26 |
$-141.74 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $675.00 | 18 | $12,150.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $669.93 | 18 | $12,058.74 | $12,712.00 |
$-91.26 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $667.23 | 19 | $12,677.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $661.85 | 19 | $12,575.15 | $12,609.78 |
$-102.22 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $668.74 | 18 | $12,037.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $663.46 | 18 | $11,942.28 | $12,514.74 |
$-95.04 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $654.85 | 19 | $12,442.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $649.23 | 19 | $12,335.37 | $12,407.96 |
$-106.78 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $657.61 | 18 | $11,836.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $650.93 | 18 | $11,716.69 | $12,287.68 |
$-120.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $658.10 | 18 | $11,845.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $651.45 | 18 | $11,726.10 | $12,167.98 |
$-119.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $642.38 | 18 | $11,562.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $637.46 | 18 | $11,474.28 | $12,079.42 |
$-88.56 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $634.24 | 19 | $12,050.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $646.60 | 19 | $12,285.49 | $12,314.35 |
+$234.93 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $656.73 | 18 | $11,821.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $646.86 | 18 | $11,643.48 | $12,136.69 |
$-177.66 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $656.84 | 18 | $11,823.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $651.52 | 18 | $11,727.36 | $12,040.93 |
$-95.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $673.61 | 17 | $11,451.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $677.71 | 17 | $11,521.07 | $12,110.63 |
+$69.70 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $692.29 | 17 | $11,768.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $702.69 | 17 | $11,945.73 | $12,287.44 |
+$176.81 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $710.76 | 17 | $12,082.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $708.14 | 17 | $12,038.38 | $12,242.94 |
$-44.50 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $703.93 | 17 | $11,966.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $712.98 | 17 | $12,120.66 | $12,396.79 |
+$153.85 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $711.09 | 17 | $12,088.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $720.85 | 17 | $12,254.45 | $12,562.75 |
+$165.96 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,562.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,562.75
Total Return:
+25.63%