VTI Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 47 trades in period
-0.15%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,801.56
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$12,821.06
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
3.7/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
33.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 33.3
30-Day Momentum
40
+3.8%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.5
Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,346
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,821.06
Current Value
$12,801.56
Period P&L
$-19.45
Max Drawdown
-8.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
22 /
25
Best Trade
+2.06%
Worst Trade
-1.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,198,562.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-19.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-19.45
Gross Return
-0.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.15%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,821.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 11:10am ET | $333.10 | 38 | $12,657.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $330.28 | 38 | $12,550.56 | $12,700.48 |
$-107.12 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $326.72 | 38 | $12,415.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $333.46 | 38 | $12,671.46 | $12,956.50 |
+$256.02 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $334.38 | 38 | $12,706.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 11:20am ET | $331.80 | 38 | $12,608.40 | $12,858.44 |
$-98.06 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $330.29 | 38 | $12,551.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $328.06 | 38 | $12,466.28 | $12,773.70 |
$-84.74 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:30pm ET | $325.39 | 39 | $12,690.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $330.54 | 39 | $12,891.06 | $12,974.55 |
+$200.85 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $321.24 | 40 | $12,849.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:20pm ET | $326.19 | 40 | $13,047.40 | $13,172.35 |
+$197.80 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:20pm ET | $328.63 | 40 | $13,145.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $333.60 | 40 | $13,344.00 | $13,371.15 |
+$198.80 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:20pm ET | $335.82 | 39 | $13,096.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 12:20pm ET | $335.43 | 39 | $13,081.58 | $13,355.74 |
$-15.40 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:25pm ET | $335.05 | 39 | $13,066.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:25pm ET | $338.02 | 39 | $13,182.90 | $13,471.76 |
+$116.02 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET | $335.87 | 40 | $13,434.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:55pm ET | $339.34 | 40 | $13,573.60 | $13,610.56 |
+$138.80 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 2:10pm ET | $336.14 | 40 | $13,445.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 2:10pm ET | $335.40 | 40 | $13,416.00 | $13,580.96 |
$-29.60 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $333.20 | 40 | $13,328.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $330.68 | 40 | $13,227.20 | $13,480.16 |
$-100.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 2:25pm ET | $336.32 | 40 | $13,452.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 2:25pm ET | $337.56 | 40 | $13,502.20 | $13,529.56 |
+$49.40 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $339.69 | 39 | $13,247.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $338.18 | 39 | $13,189.02 | $13,470.67 |
$-58.89 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $338.26 | 39 | $13,192.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:25pm ET | $335.66 | 39 | $13,090.74 | $13,369.27 |
$-101.40 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $336.06 | 39 | $13,106.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $338.98 | 39 | $13,220.22 | $13,483.15 |
+$113.88 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $340.81 | 39 | $13,291.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.22 | 39 | $13,307.58 | $13,499.14 |
+$15.99 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $342.90 | 39 | $13,373.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $340.11 | 39 | $13,264.10 | $13,390.14 |
$-109.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $343.21 | 39 | $13,385.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.46 | 39 | $13,160.94 | $13,165.89 |
$-224.25 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $337.35 | 39 | $13,156.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.41 | 39 | $13,314.84 | $13,324.08 |
+$158.19 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $343.17 | 38 | $13,040.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $340.55 | 38 | $12,940.71 | $13,224.52 |
$-99.56 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $340.50 | 38 | $12,939.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $342.17 | 38 | $13,002.46 | $13,287.98 |
+$63.46 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $341.25 | 38 | $12,967.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $338.66 | 38 | $12,869.08 | $13,189.56 |
$-98.42 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $336.65 | 39 | $13,129.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $333.85 | 39 | $13,020.15 | $13,080.18 |
$-109.38 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $342.86 | 38 | $13,028.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $342.92 | 38 | $13,031.15 | $13,082.65 |
+$2.47 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.12 | 38 | $12,772.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.09 | 38 | $12,809.42 | $13,119.51 |
+$36.86 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $339.38 | 38 | $12,896.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $336.57 | 38 | $12,789.47 | $13,012.54 |
$-106.97 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $338.17 | 38 | $12,850.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $338.61 | 38 | $12,867.18 | $13,029.07 |
+$16.53 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $338.83 | 38 | $12,875.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.36 | 38 | $12,667.68 | $12,821.21 |
$-207.86 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $335.44 | 38 | $12,746.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.04 | 38 | $12,617.33 | $12,691.82 |
$-129.39 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.35 | 38 | $12,477.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $333.55 | 38 | $12,674.90 | $12,889.37 |
+$197.55 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $333.66 | 38 | $12,679.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.28 | 38 | $12,550.45 | $12,760.74 |
$-128.63 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $328.49 | 38 | $12,482.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $325.89 | 38 | $12,383.63 | $12,661.75 |
$-98.99 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $329.34 | 38 | $12,514.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $326.72 | 38 | $12,415.36 | $12,562.19 |
$-99.56 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $323.90 | 38 | $12,308.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $321.47 | 38 | $12,215.86 | $12,469.85 |
$-92.34 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $325.26 | 38 | $12,359.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.85 | 38 | $12,230.31 | $12,340.28 |
$-129.57 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $324.33 | 38 | $12,324.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $321.63 | 38 | $12,221.94 | $12,237.68 |
$-102.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $315.26 | 38 | $11,979.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $312.75 | 38 | $11,884.50 | $12,142.30 |
$-95.38 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $311.42 | 38 | $11,833.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $316.54 | 38 | $12,028.52 | $12,336.86 |
+$194.56 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $324.18 | 38 | $12,318.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.04 | 38 | $12,123.52 | $12,141.54 |
$-195.32 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $324.19 | 37 | $11,995.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $321.72 | 37 | $11,903.64 | $12,050.15 |
$-91.39 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $332.66 | 36 | $11,975.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.27 | 36 | $12,033.72 | $12,108.11 |
+$57.96 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $342.02 | 35 | $11,970.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.59 | 35 | $12,200.56 | $12,337.97 |
+$229.86 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $349.71 | 35 | $12,239.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $350.69 | 35 | $12,274.17 | $12,372.29 |
+$34.32 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET | $351.75 | 35 | $12,311.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $352.43 | 35 | $12,335.22 | $12,396.26 |
+$23.97 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.05 | 35 | $12,251.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $355.99 | 35 | $12,459.82 | $12,604.51 |
+$208.25 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $354.87 | 35 | $12,420.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $360.50 | 35 | $12,617.50 | $12,801.56 |
+$197.05 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,801.56
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,801.56
Total Return:
+28.02%