XLF Nina Micro's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 51 trades in period
-5.98%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,875.12
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$13,693.79
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.9/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
37.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 37.6
30-Day Momentum
10
+0.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.8
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,611
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,693.79
Current Value
$12,875.12
Period P&L
$-818.63
Max Drawdown
-6.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
20 /
31
Best Trade
+2.84%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,364,276.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-818.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-818.63
Gross Return
-5.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.98%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,693.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 11:20am ET | $52.40 | 260 | $13,624.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 11:20am ET | $52.24 | 260 | $13,582.40 | $13,584.55 |
$-41.60 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $52.95 | 256 | $13,555.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $53.75 | 256 | $13,760.00 | $13,789.35 |
+$204.80 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:45am ET | $53.62 | 257 | $13,780.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $53.18 | 257 | $13,667.26 | $13,676.27 |
$-113.08 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:35pm ET | $52.62 | 259 | $13,627.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $52.10 | 259 | $13,492.61 | $13,541.59 |
$-134.68 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET | $51.23 | 264 | $13,523.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.28 | 264 | $13,801.92 | $13,820.11 |
+$278.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $51.20 | 269 | $13,772.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $51.43 | 269 | $13,834.67 | $13,881.98 |
+$61.87 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET | $52.99 | 261 | $13,830.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.01 | 261 | $13,835.61 | $13,887.20 |
+$5.22 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.84 | 262 | $13,844.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.87 | 262 | $14,113.94 | $14,157.06 |
+$269.86 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET | $53.83 | 263 | $14,155.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $53.38 | 263 | $14,037.63 | $14,038.71 |
$-118.35 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:25pm ET | $53.80 | 260 | $13,986.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:05pm ET | $53.38 | 260 | $13,878.80 | $13,930.81 |
$-107.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $54.83 | 254 | $13,926.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:55am ET | $55.11 | 254 | $13,997.94 | $14,001.93 |
+$71.12 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:55am ET | $54.81 | 255 | $13,976.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $54.84 | 255 | $13,984.20 | $14,009.58 |
+$7.65 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 1:50pm ET | $55.34 | 253 | $13,999.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.72 | 253 | $14,097.16 | $14,106.98 |
+$97.40 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $55.46 | 254 | $14,086.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $55.04 | 254 | $13,978.89 | $13,999.29 |
$-107.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.45 | 257 | $13,992.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.38 | 257 | $14,232.66 | $14,239.58 |
+$240.30 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.11 | 253 | $14,194.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $55.64 | 253 | $14,075.66 | $14,120.67 |
$-118.91 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $56.12 | 251 | $14,084.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.86 | 251 | $13,768.61 | $13,804.41 |
$-316.26 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.00 | 250 | $13,750.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.57 | 250 | $13,642.50 | $13,696.91 |
$-107.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $53.98 | 253 | $13,655.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.73 | 253 | $13,592.43 | $13,633.66 |
$-63.25 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $53.59 | 254 | $13,611.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $53.15 | 254 | $13,498.83 | $13,520.63 |
$-113.03 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $53.27 | 253 | $13,476.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $52.86 | 253 | $13,373.58 | $13,418.17 |
$-102.47 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $52.96 | 253 | $13,397.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.59 | 253 | $13,558.27 | $13,578.82 |
+$160.66 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.83 | 252 | $13,566.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $53.43 | 252 | $13,464.36 | $13,476.76 |
$-102.06 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.82 | 250 | $13,455.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $53.38 | 250 | $13,343.75 | $13,365.51 |
$-111.25 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $54.10 | 247 | $13,362.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $54.21 | 247 | $13,389.85 | $13,392.66 |
+$27.15 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $53.67 | 249 | $13,365.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $53.22 | 249 | $13,251.78 | $13,279.37 |
$-113.29 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $51.97 | 255 | $13,252.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $52.11 | 255 | $13,288.05 | $13,315.07 |
+$35.70 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $50.94 | 261 | $13,296.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.38 | 261 | $13,147.88 | $13,166.30 |
$-148.77 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:40pm ET | $51.72 | 254 | $13,136.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $52.50 | 254 | $13,335.00 | $13,364.42 |
+$198.12 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.49 | 259 | $13,337.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $51.09 | 259 | $13,232.65 | $13,259.86 |
$-104.56 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $51.35 | 258 | $13,249.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.35 | 258 | $12,990.30 | $13,000.57 |
$-259.29 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.24 | 253 | $12,962.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.49 | 253 | $12,775.23 | $12,813.35 |
$-187.22 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.03 | 256 | $12,807.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $49.41 | 256 | $12,648.96 | $12,654.63 |
$-158.72 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $49.87 | 253 | $12,615.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $50.63 | 253 | $12,809.34 | $12,848.12 |
+$193.49 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $49.42 | 259 | $12,801.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.98 | 259 | $12,685.82 | $12,732.87 |
$-115.25 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $49.24 | 258 | $12,705.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $48.87 | 258 | $12,608.46 | $12,636.12 |
$-96.75 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.15 | 257 | $12,630.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.01 | 257 | $12,853.85 | $12,859.68 |
+$223.56 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.38 | 260 | $12,838.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $48.98 | 260 | $12,735.37 | $12,756.25 |
$-103.43 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $49.01 | 260 | $12,741.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.80 | 260 | $12,948.00 | $12,962.95 |
+$206.70 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.87 | 265 | $12,950.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.80 | 265 | $13,197.00 | $13,209.40 |
+$246.45 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.22 | 268 | $13,190.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.64 | 268 | $13,035.52 | $13,053.96 |
$-155.44 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $48.58 | 268 | $13,018.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $48.19 | 268 | $12,915.00 | $12,950.86 |
$-103.10 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $49.38 | 262 | $12,938.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.80 | 262 | $12,785.60 | $12,797.59 |
$-153.27 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $49.83 | 256 | $12,755.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.24 | 256 | $13,117.41 | $13,159.80 |
+$362.21 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.87 | 258 | $13,124.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.53 | 258 | $13,036.74 | $13,072.08 |
$-87.72 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $51.79 | 252 | $13,052.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $52.58 | 252 | $13,251.42 | $13,271.16 |
+$199.08 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.54 | 252 | $13,240.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $52.15 | 252 | $13,140.54 | $13,171.62 |
$-99.54 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $51.88 | 253 | $13,124.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $51.46 | 253 | $13,018.12 | $13,065.36 |
$-106.26 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $51.47 | 253 | $13,021.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $51.79 | 253 | $13,102.87 | $13,146.32 |
+$80.96 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $51.90 | 253 | $13,129.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.47 | 253 | $13,021.91 | $13,038.80 |
$-107.52 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $52.38 | 248 | $12,990.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.72 | 248 | $12,826.56 | $12,875.12 |
$-163.68 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,875.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,875.12
Total Return:
+28.75%