HD Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 49 trades in period
-7.15%
Year to Date Return
$11,819.02
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$12,728.76
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
21.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 21.5
30-Day Momentum
49
+7.0%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.3
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,306
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,728.76
Current Value
$11,819.02
Period P&L
$-909.72
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
15 /
34
Best Trade
+5.69%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
20h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,162,268.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-909.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-909.72
Gross Return
-7.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.15%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,728.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $345.08 | 36 | $12,422.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $341.12 | 36 | $12,280.42 | $12,607.88 |
$-142.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $344.08 | 36 | $12,386.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $339.65 | 36 | $12,227.40 | $12,448.40 |
$-159.48 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $353.09 | 35 | $12,357.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $350.31 | 35 | $12,260.68 | $12,351.10 |
$-97.30 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $359.81 | 34 | $12,233.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $366.57 | 34 | $12,463.21 | $12,580.77 |
+$229.67 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $375.26 | 33 | $12,383.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $372.16 | 33 | $12,281.28 | $12,478.47 |
$-102.30 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $375.53 | 33 | $12,392.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $381.37 | 33 | $12,585.21 | $12,671.19 |
+$192.72 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $374.51 | 33 | $12,358.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $380.62 | 33 | $12,560.46 | $12,872.98 |
+$201.80 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $384.68 | 33 | $12,694.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $380.90 | 33 | $12,569.54 | $12,748.24 |
$-124.74 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $383.17 | 33 | $12,644.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $386.70 | 33 | $12,761.10 | $12,864.73 |
+$116.49 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $378.37 | 34 | $12,864.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $374.47 | 34 | $12,731.98 | $12,732.13 |
$-132.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $370.69 | 34 | $12,603.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $376.02 | 34 | $12,784.68 | $12,913.35 |
+$181.22 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $384.27 | 33 | $12,680.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $381.34 | 33 | $12,584.06 | $12,816.67 |
$-96.69 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $385.39 | 33 | $12,717.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $382.31 | 33 | $12,616.23 | $12,715.19 |
$-101.48 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $385.33 | 32 | $12,330.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $380.45 | 32 | $12,174.40 | $12,559.03 |
$-156.16 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $389.93 | 32 | $12,477.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.37 | 32 | $12,299.84 | $12,381.04 |
$-177.99 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $388.19 | 31 | $12,033.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $384.87 | 31 | $11,930.97 | $12,278.12 |
$-102.92 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $383.14 | 32 | $12,260.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $379.90 | 32 | $12,156.80 | $12,174.28 |
$-103.84 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.23 | 32 | $12,071.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $383.12 | 32 | $12,259.84 | $12,362.76 |
+$188.48 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $371.85 | 33 | $12,271.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $377.71 | 33 | $12,464.43 | $12,556.14 |
+$193.38 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $386.16 | 32 | $12,357.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $382.81 | 32 | $12,249.96 | $12,448.98 |
$-107.16 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $377.67 | 32 | $12,085.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.10 | 32 | $11,971.20 | $12,334.74 |
$-114.24 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.97 | 32 | $11,999.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $370.41 | 32 | $11,853.20 | $12,188.90 |
$-145.84 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $365.10 | 33 | $12,048.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $361.62 | 33 | $11,933.46 | $12,074.22 |
$-114.68 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $364.55 | 33 | $12,030.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $361.05 | 33 | $11,914.81 | $11,958.72 |
$-115.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $356.82 | 33 | $11,775.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $350.36 | 33 | $11,561.76 | $11,745.37 |
$-213.35 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $358.46 | 32 | $11,470.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.13 | 32 | $11,364.29 | $11,638.78 |
$-106.59 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.21 | 33 | $11,424.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $343.25 | 33 | $11,327.25 | $11,541.10 |
$-97.68 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $341.28 | 33 | $11,262.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $338.36 | 33 | $11,165.88 | $11,444.74 |
$-96.36 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $343.15 | 33 | $11,324.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.88 | 33 | $11,150.04 | $11,270.67 |
$-174.07 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.00 | 34 | $11,220.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $327.06 | 34 | $11,120.04 | $11,170.71 |
$-99.96 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $325.53 | 34 | $11,068.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $323.00 | 34 | $10,982.00 | $11,084.69 |
$-86.02 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:10pm ET | $332.27 | 33 | $10,965.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.94 | 33 | $10,756.02 | $10,875.64 |
$-209.05 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $327.58 | 33 | $10,809.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $332.52 | 33 | $10,973.32 | $11,038.99 |
+$163.35 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $327.00 | 33 | $10,791.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $324.31 | 33 | $10,702.23 | $10,950.22 |
$-88.77 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $324.55 | 33 | $10,710.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.92 | 33 | $10,887.38 | $11,127.45 |
+$177.23 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.55 | 34 | $11,000.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $321.00 | 34 | $10,914.00 | $11,040.75 |
$-86.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $320.08 | 34 | $10,882.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $325.17 | 34 | $11,055.78 | $11,213.98 |
+$173.23 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $317.79 | 35 | $11,122.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.86 | 35 | $11,755.10 | $11,846.43 |
+$632.45 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.64 | 35 | $11,607.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $336.68 | 35 | $11,783.97 | $12,023.18 |
+$176.75 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $337.11 | 35 | $11,799.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.94 | 35 | $11,652.90 | $11,877.06 |
$-146.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $341.83 | 34 | $11,622.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $339.27 | 34 | $11,535.01 | $11,789.68 |
$-87.38 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $337.34 | 34 | $11,469.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.00 | 34 | $11,662.00 | $11,982.12 |
+$192.44 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $345.15 | 34 | $11,735.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $350.49 | 34 | $11,916.83 | $12,163.85 |
+$181.73 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $343.23 | 35 | $12,013.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $340.58 | 35 | $11,920.30 | $12,071.10 |
$-92.75 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $338.87 | 35 | $11,860.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $336.30 | 35 | $11,770.50 | $11,981.15 |
$-89.95 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $334.32 | 35 | $11,701.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $330.61 | 35 | $11,571.18 | $11,851.13 |
$-130.02 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $320.92 | 36 | $11,552.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $325.75 | 36 | $11,727.00 | $12,025.19 |
+$174.06 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $327.28 | 36 | $11,782.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $324.77 | 36 | $11,691.72 | $11,934.83 |
$-90.36 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $313.76 | 38 | $11,922.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $310.71 | 38 | $11,806.98 | $11,819.02 |
$-115.81 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,819.02
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,819.02
Total Return:
+18.19%