IWM Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
+7.57%
Year to Date Return
$14,641.01
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$13,610.64
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
37.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 37.7
30-Day Momentum
56
+7.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.3
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,402
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,610.64
Current Value
$14,641.01
Period P&L
$1,030.35
Max Drawdown
-11.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
18 /
22
Best Trade
+4.13%
Worst Trade
-1.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,097,261.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,030.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,030.35
Gross Return
+7.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,610.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:50pm ET | $246.58 | 55 | $13,561.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.14 | 55 | $13,757.70 | $13,809.77 |
+$195.79 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $252.01 | 54 | $13,608.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $255.91 | 54 | $13,819.14 | $14,020.37 |
+$210.60 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $258.10 | 54 | $13,937.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.41 | 54 | $13,954.14 | $14,037.38 |
+$17.01 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $261.90 | 53 | $13,880.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $265.85 | 53 | $14,090.05 | $14,246.73 |
+$209.35 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:45pm ET | $266.58 | 53 | $14,128.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.23 | 53 | $13,898.19 | $14,016.18 |
$-230.55 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $265.21 | 52 | $13,790.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $263.10 | 52 | $13,680.97 | $13,906.22 |
$-109.95 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $270.96 | 51 | $13,818.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.05 | 51 | $13,670.55 | $13,757.81 |
$-148.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.78 | 51 | $13,503.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.52 | 51 | $13,439.52 | $13,693.55 |
$-64.26 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $261.32 | 52 | $13,588.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $259.14 | 52 | $13,475.02 | $13,579.93 |
$-113.62 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $262.09 | 51 | $13,366.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $259.88 | 51 | $13,253.88 | $13,467.23 |
$-112.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $257.56 | 52 | $13,393.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:00pm ET | $261.43 | 52 | $13,594.62 | $13,668.73 |
+$201.50 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $256.34 | 53 | $13,586.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.29 | 53 | $13,848.37 | $13,931.08 |
+$262.35 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.69 | 52 | $13,711.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $266.94 | 52 | $13,880.88 | $14,100.08 |
+$169.00 (+1.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $266.18 | 52 | $13,841.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $264.15 | 52 | $13,735.80 | $13,994.52 |
$-105.56 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $262.74 | 53 | $13,925.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $260.76 | 53 | $13,820.28 | $13,889.58 |
$-104.94 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:15am ET | $265.97 | 52 | $13,830.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $263.93 | 52 | $13,724.36 | $13,783.50 |
$-106.08 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $263.56 | 52 | $13,705.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $260.87 | 52 | $13,565.24 | $13,643.62 |
$-139.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $262.53 | 51 | $13,389.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $260.00 | 51 | $13,260.00 | $13,514.59 |
$-129.03 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $259.59 | 52 | $13,498.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $263.51 | 52 | $13,702.26 | $13,718.17 |
+$203.58 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $259.54 | 52 | $13,496.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $257.02 | 52 | $13,365.04 | $13,587.13 |
$-131.04 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $251.58 | 54 | $13,585.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.24 | 54 | $13,350.96 | $13,352.77 |
$-234.36 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $254.68 | 52 | $13,243.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $252.23 | 52 | $13,115.96 | $13,225.37 |
$-127.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.67 | 53 | $13,179.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $246.37 | 53 | $13,057.61 | $13,103.47 |
$-121.90 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $250.01 | 52 | $13,000.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $247.93 | 52 | $12,892.62 | $12,995.57 |
$-107.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $243.95 | 53 | $12,929.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $248.42 | 53 | $13,166.26 | $13,232.48 |
+$236.91 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $241.54 | 54 | $13,043.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.68 | 54 | $13,320.72 | $13,510.04 |
+$277.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.10 | 55 | $13,480.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $248.79 | 55 | $13,683.45 | $13,712.99 |
+$202.95 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $250.70 | 54 | $13,537.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $248.78 | 54 | $13,434.12 | $13,609.58 |
$-103.41 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $244.77 | 55 | $13,462.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $242.84 | 55 | $13,356.20 | $13,503.43 |
$-106.15 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $239.39 | 56 | $13,405.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.51 | 56 | $13,636.56 | $13,734.15 |
+$230.72 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $251.63 | 54 | $13,588.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $249.64 | 54 | $13,480.56 | $13,626.69 |
$-107.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $249.92 | 54 | $13,495.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.91 | 54 | $13,549.14 | $13,680.15 |
+$53.46 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.55 | 54 | $13,583.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.95 | 54 | $14,145.30 | $14,241.75 |
+$561.60 (+4.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $259.33 | 54 | $14,003.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.53 | 54 | $14,068.62 | $14,306.55 |
+$64.80 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $268.67 | 53 | $14,239.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.84 | 53 | $14,513.52 | $14,580.56 |
+$274.01 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $274.71 | 53 | $14,559.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $279.28 | 53 | $14,801.84 | $14,822.72 |
+$242.16 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $276.23 | 53 | $14,640.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $274.03 | 53 | $14,523.59 | $14,706.12 |
$-116.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET | $277.00 | 53 | $14,681.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $276.74 | 53 | $14,667.48 | $14,692.60 |
$-13.52 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $273.44 | 53 | $14,492.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $271.25 | 53 | $14,376.25 | $14,576.53 |
$-116.07 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $276.98 | 52 | $14,402.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $278.22 | 52 | $14,467.44 | $14,641.01 |
+$64.48 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,641.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,641.01
Total Return:
+46.41%