XOM Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 46 trades in period
+5.87%
Year to Date Return
$11,471.98
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,835.97
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
22.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 22.6
30-Day Momentum
20
+1.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.6
Conf: 1.00×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,331
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,835.97
Current Value
$11,471.98
Period P&L
$636.06
Max Drawdown
-14.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
21 /
25
Best Trade
+2.28%
Worst Trade
-3.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
21.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,037,248.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$636.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$636.06
Gross Return
+5.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,835.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 12:15pm ET | $120.70 | 89 | $10,742.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.02 | 89 | $10,681.78 | $10,783.41 |
$-60.96 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $125.43 | 85 | $10,661.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.35 | 85 | $10,569.75 | $10,691.61 |
$-91.80 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $119.39 | 89 | $10,625.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $118.48 | 89 | $10,544.28 | $10,610.18 |
$-81.44 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.61 | 85 | $10,506.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $125.61 | 85 | $10,676.85 | $10,780.18 |
+$170.00 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $130.04 | 82 | $10,663.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.61 | 82 | $10,546.02 | $10,662.92 |
$-117.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $129.73 | 82 | $10,637.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.38 | 82 | $10,691.16 | $10,716.22 |
+$53.30 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $132.87 | 80 | $10,629.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.59 | 80 | $10,847.20 | $10,933.82 |
+$217.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $134.89 | 81 | $10,925.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.59 | 81 | $11,144.79 | $11,152.92 |
+$219.11 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $139.53 | 79 | $11,022.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $137.97 | 79 | $10,899.63 | $11,029.68 |
$-123.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $138.93 | 79 | $10,975.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $141.18 | 79 | $11,153.61 | $11,208.22 |
+$178.54 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $146.62 | 76 | $11,143.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.62 | 76 | $10,990.74 | $11,055.85 |
$-152.38 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $148.44 | 74 | $10,984.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $149.26 | 74 | $11,045.25 | $11,116.53 |
+$60.69 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.63 | 75 | $11,072.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $145.96 | 75 | $10,947.00 | $10,990.91 |
$-125.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $150.04 | 73 | $10,952.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.43 | 73 | $11,127.39 | $11,165.38 |
+$174.47 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.28 | 74 | $11,120.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $149.02 | 74 | $11,027.85 | $11,072.50 |
$-92.88 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $149.89 | 73 | $10,941.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $148.74 | 73 | $10,858.02 | $10,988.55 |
$-83.95 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $148.06 | 74 | $10,956.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $150.52 | 74 | $11,138.85 | $11,170.96 |
+$182.41 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $154.02 | 72 | $11,089.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $151.84 | 72 | $10,932.48 | $11,014.00 |
$-156.96 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $149.32 | 73 | $10,900.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $152.06 | 73 | $11,100.38 | $11,213.66 |
+$199.66 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $151.42 | 74 | $11,205.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $151.75 | 74 | $11,229.50 | $11,238.08 |
+$24.42 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $149.41 | 75 | $11,205.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $147.95 | 75 | $11,096.25 | $11,128.58 |
$-109.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:10pm ET | $153.93 | 72 | $11,082.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $156.30 | 72 | $11,253.61 | $11,299.23 |
+$170.65 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $159.86 | 70 | $11,190.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 11:15am ET | $158.63 | 70 | $11,104.10 | $11,213.13 |
$-86.10 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:55pm ET | $158.43 | 70 | $11,090.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $160.96 | 70 | $11,267.20 | $11,390.23 |
+$177.10 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.70 | 72 | $11,282.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $159.47 | 72 | $11,481.84 | $11,590.03 |
+$199.80 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $166.10 | 69 | $11,460.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:15pm ET | $164.72 | 69 | $11,365.68 | $11,495.11 |
$-94.92 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $163.84 | 70 | $11,468.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $162.55 | 70 | $11,378.50 | $11,404.81 |
$-90.30 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $170.19 | 67 | $11,402.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.85 | 67 | $11,580.95 | $11,583.03 |
+$178.22 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $173.37 | 66 | $11,442.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $171.55 | 66 | $11,322.30 | $11,463.24 |
$-119.79 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $161.01 | 71 | $11,431.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.68 | 71 | $11,692.28 | $11,723.81 |
+$260.57 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $160.50 | 73 | $11,716.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $162.97 | 73 | $11,896.81 | $11,904.16 |
+$180.35 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $163.35 | 72 | $11,761.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:45pm ET | $162.08 | 72 | $11,669.77 | $11,812.73 |
$-91.43 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $153.74 | 76 | $11,684.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.61 | 76 | $11,902.36 | $12,030.85 |
+$218.12 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.51 | 77 | $11,897.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $152.92 | 77 | $11,774.84 | $11,908.03 |
$-122.82 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $152.43 | 78 | $11,889.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.77 | 78 | $11,682.45 | $11,700.94 |
$-207.09 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $148.01 | 79 | $11,692.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.82 | 79 | $11,914.79 | $11,922.94 |
+$222.00 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.38 | 82 | $11,839.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $142.96 | 82 | $11,722.31 | $11,806.09 |
$-116.85 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $148.78 | 79 | $11,753.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $147.63 | 79 | $11,662.77 | $11,715.00 |
$-91.09 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $147.71 | 79 | $11,669.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.09 | 79 | $11,857.11 | $11,903.02 |
+$188.02 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $149.24 | 79 | $11,790.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $148.04 | 79 | $11,695.16 | $11,807.82 |
$-95.20 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $149.30 | 79 | $11,794.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $148.18 | 79 | $11,706.22 | $11,719.34 |
$-88.48 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET | $151.70 | 77 | $11,680.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $150.49 | 77 | $11,587.65 | $11,626.08 |
$-93.26 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $153.70 | 75 | $11,527.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.01 | 75 | $11,400.75 | $11,499.33 |
$-126.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.22 | 75 | $11,416.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $154.67 | 75 | $11,600.25 | $11,683.31 |
+$183.98 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $151.01 | 77 | $11,628.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $153.61 | 77 | $11,827.97 | $11,883.13 |
+$199.82 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $154.64 | 76 | $11,752.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.23 | 76 | $11,341.48 | $11,471.98 |
$-411.15 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,471.98
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,471.98
Total Return:
+14.72%