Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:15:58

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 28, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
11.0/15
Profit Factor
11.2/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 82.5/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 59.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,282
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$20,149.79
Current Value
$19,528.28
Period P&L
$-621.51
Max Drawdown
-4.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.57

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+0.41%
Worst Trade
-1.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.45%
Avg Hold Time
23.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$276,511.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-621.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-621.51
Gross Return
-3.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Oracle Calm Dip had $20,149.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:05am ET $270.69 74 $20,031.03
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:05am ET $269.07 74 $19,911.17 $20,029.93 $-119.86
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $263.89 75 $19,791.75
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $262.23 75 $19,667.25 $19,905.43 $-124.50
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:20am ET $256.31 77 $19,735.87
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $257.31 77 $19,812.64 $19,982.20 +$76.77
(+0.4%)
TRAILING_STOP
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $259.70 76 $19,737.20
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $260.51 76 $19,798.83 $20,043.83 +$61.63
(+0.3%)
TRAILING_STOP
18.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $259.21 77 $19,959.17
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $255.32 77 $19,659.79 $19,744.44 $-299.39
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $254.24 77 $19,576.48
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $255.28 77 $19,656.34 $19,824.30 +$79.86
(+0.4%)
TRAILING_STOP
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $259.67 76 $19,734.92
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $255.78 76 $19,438.90 $19,528.28 $-296.02
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,528.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,528.28
Total Return: +95.28%
Back to Oracle Calm Dip