Compendium › Penelope Swing › ARM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARM
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.01%
Last Month Return
$11,735.15
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,617.36
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:07:52

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 34.8/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 25.7

30-Day Momentum

4
+1.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,526
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,617.36
Current Value
$11,735.15
Period P&L
$117.77
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+7.77%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,594.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$117.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$117.77
Gross Return
+1.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $11,617.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $375.35 30 $11,260.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $404.52 30 $12,135.60 $12,492.48 +$875.10
(+7.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $368.80 33 $12,170.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $349.75 33 $11,541.75 $11,863.67 $-628.81
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $327.98 36 $11,807.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $324.41 36 $11,678.76 $11,735.15 $-128.52
(-1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,735.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,735.15
Total Return: +17.35%
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