Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 42.1/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 31.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,108
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,331.26
Current Value
$12,107.77
Period P&L
$1,776.51
Max Drawdown
-8.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.85

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
8 / 2
Best Trade
+4.82%
Worst Trade
-0.85%
Avg Trade Return
+1.62%
Avg Hold Time
1.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$229,647.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,776.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,776.51
Gross Return
+17.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,331.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $69.93 147 $10,278.98
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 11:05am ET $70.93 147 $10,426.71 $10,479.00 +$147.74
(+1.4%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:20am ET $90.04 116 $10,444.63
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 12:45pm ET $92.04 116 $10,676.64 $10,711.01 +$232.01
(+2.2%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $94.97 112 $10,637.04
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 11:05am ET $99.42 112 $11,135.04 $11,209.00 +$498.00
(+4.7%)
RESISTANCE
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $99.67 112 $11,163.04
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 11:10am ET $104.47 112 $11,700.60 $11,746.56 +$537.56
(+4.8%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 11:00am ET $96.04 122 $11,716.89
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 11:40am ET $98.86 122 $12,060.31 $12,089.98 +$343.42
(+2.9%)
RESISTANCE
42m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $131.59 91 $11,974.69
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 12:05pm ET $130.48 91 $11,873.23 $11,988.51 $-101.47
(-0.8%)
RESISTANCE
2.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $109.24 109 $11,907.16
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:30pm ET $109.41 109 $11,925.69 $12,007.04 +$18.53
(+0.2%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:45am ET $124.83 96 $11,983.20
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:10pm ET $124.10 96 $11,913.60 $11,937.44 $-69.60
(-0.6%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $91.18 130 $11,853.39
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $91.97 130 $11,956.10 $12,040.16 +$102.71
(+0.9%)
RESISTANCE
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 166 $11,976.52
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $72.56 166 $12,044.13 $12,107.77 +$67.61
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,107.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,107.77
Total Return: +21.08%
Back to Penelope Swing