Compendium › Penelope Swing › AMC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMC
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 3 trades in period

-3.07%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,676.98
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,015.49
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 05:46:19

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 15.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,015.49
Current Value
$10,676.98
Period P&L
$-338.52
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+0.27%
Worst Trade
-2.13%
Avg Trade Return
-1.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$64,742.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-338.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-338.52
Gross Return
-3.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $11,015.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:20am ET $1.91 5,752 $11,015.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:25am ET $1.89 5,752 $10,879.33 $10,879.75 $-135.75
(-1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $1.88 5,786 $10,878.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1.84 5,786 $10,646.24 $10,647.73 $-232.02
(-2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $1.82 5,850 $10,647.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1.83 5,850 $10,676.25 $10,676.98 +$29.25
(+0.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,676.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$676.98
Total Return: +6.77%
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