Compendium › Penelope Swing › UNIUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNIUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 7 trades in period

-2.17%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,937.39
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$11,653.61
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:11:32

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 22.9

30-Day Momentum

12
+1.4%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.0 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,715
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,653.61
Current Value
$11,937.39
Period P&L
$-252.40
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+2.04%
Worst Trade
-0.87%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
5m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$164,733.62
Estimated Fees
$411.83
Gross P&L
$-252.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-664.23
Gross Return
-2.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.70%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $11,653.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:05am ET $3.34 3,523 $11,777.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:10am ET $3.37 3,523 $11,875.55 $11,875.55 +$38.46
(+0.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:15am ET $3.34 3,559 $11,875.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:20am ET $3.31 3,559 $11,772.71 $11,772.71 $-161.97
(-0.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:25am ET $3.32 3,550 $11,772.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:30am ET $3.31 3,550 $11,758.87 $11,758.87 $-72.67
(-0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:35am ET $3.35 3,511 $11,758.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:40am ET $3.34 3,511 $11,727.62 $11,727.62 $-89.97
(-0.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:45am ET $3.32 3,529 $11,727.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:50am ET $3.31 3,529 $11,675.38 $11,675.38 $-110.74
(-0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:55am ET $3.26 3,580 $11,675.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 8:00am ET $3.27 3,580 $11,699.00 $11,699.00 $-34.81
(+0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 8:05am ET $3.23 3,623 $11,699.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 8:10am ET $3.29 3,623 $11,937.39 $11,937.39 +$179.30
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,937.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,937.39
Total Return: +19.37%
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