Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-21 12:25:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
0.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 9.1/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 6.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,013
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,245.77
Current Value
$10,020.91
Period P&L
$-224.87
Max Drawdown
-2.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.23

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+0.07%
Worst Trade
-1.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.74%
Avg Hold Time
42m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$60,280.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-224.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-224.87
Gross Return
-2.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,245.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $46.50 220 $10,228.90
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET $45.86 220 $10,089.22 $10,106.10 $-139.68
(-1.4%)
RESISTANCE
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $108.41 93 $10,082.13
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $107.42 93 $9,990.01 $10,013.98 $-92.12
(-0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $100.42 99 $9,941.58
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $100.49 99 $9,948.51 $10,020.91 +$6.93
(+0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,020.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$20.91
Total Return: +0.21%
Back to Penelope Swing