Compendium › Penelope Swing › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 6 trades in period

-0.27%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,144.63
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,171.75
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:01:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 44%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
60.4/35
Total Return
24.0/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
54.5/10
Raw Quality 144.1/100
× Confidence 0.44 = 62.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (44%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,512
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,171.75
Current Value
$10,144.63
Period P&L
$-27.11
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+3.62%
Worst Trade
-6.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
51m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$122,554.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-27.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-27.11
Gross Return
-0.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,171.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET $64.50 157 $10,126.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 11:05am ET $65.23 157 $10,241.11 $10,286.36 +$114.61
(+1.1%) 		RESISTANCE
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET $98.12 104 $10,204.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:55am ET $101.67 104 $10,573.85 $10,655.73 +$369.37
(+3.6%) 		RESISTANCE
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $82.39 129 $10,627.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $77.32 129 $9,974.20 $10,002.26 $-653.46
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $67.38 148 $9,972.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $69.04 148 $10,217.92 $10,247.93 +$245.67
(+2.5%) 		RESISTANCE
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $73.99 138 $10,210.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $73.39 138 $10,127.82 $10,165.13 $-82.80
(-0.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $61.88 164 $10,149.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $61.76 164 $10,128.64 $10,144.63 $-20.50
(-0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,144.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$144.63
Total Return: +1.45%
Back to Penelope Swing