🚫
Strategy Under Probation
This strategy required a capital refund and is currently unavailable for live trading assignment. Probation ends in 17 days (May 23, 2026). Simulation trading continues normally.
17
days left
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
⚠️
Viewing Era 2 Data Only
This strategy crashed 1 time. "Era All" shows Apr 23, 2026 to present (13 days, 0 trades). View crash history ↓
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:22:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score

Score Not Yet Available
This strategy+symbol combination hasn't been scored yet. Scoring requires at least 10 trades and runs daily. Check back soon.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,125
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
506 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Era 2)

Starting Capital
$10,033.50
Current Value
$33.50
Total P&L
$-10,000.00
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio

Trade Statistics (Era 2)

Total Trades
0
Winners / Losers
0 / 0
Best Trade
+0.00%
Worst Trade
+0.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
0m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Era 2)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$0.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-10,000.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-10,000.00
Gross Return
-99.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-99.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

💸 Capital Refund History

When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.

# Date Capital Before Trades Before Era Fees Paid Reason
1 Apr 23, 2026 $33.50 1 $0.00 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.

📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures

Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.

💀 Era 1 — CRASHED
Apr 23, 2026 → Apr 23, 2026
Trades
1
Win Rate
0.0%
P&L
$-82.53
Fees Paid
$0.00
Return
-99.7%
Started
$10,000
Crashed At
$33.50
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time (Era 2)

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay (Era 2)

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 10 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

🔄 Era 2 Trade History (Current) (since refund on Apr 23, 2026 - 0 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,033.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
Started with: $10,000.00
+ 1 refund ($10,000)
Total Invested: $20,000.00
Ended with: $33.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-19,966.50
Total Return: -99.83%
Back to Penelope Swing