UVXY Penelope Swing's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:20:00+00 • 49 trades executed
-35.51%
2 Years Return
$6,678.65
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,356.25
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality
3.5/100
× Confidence 0.79
= 2.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
81,912
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,356.25
Current Value
$6,678.65
Total P&L
$-3,677.62
Max Drawdown
-29.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
45
Winners / Losers
18 /
27
Best Trade
+13.82%
Worst Trade
-14.30%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$718,984.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,677.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,677.62
Gross Return
-35.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-35.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,356.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 11:45am ET | $263.55 | 39 | $10,278.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 12:25pm ET | $245.75 | 39 | $9,584.25 | $9,662.05 |
$-694.20 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 12:25pm ET | $192.55 | 50 | $9,627.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2024 1:25pm ET | $180.88 | 50 | $9,043.75 | $9,078.30 |
$-583.75 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2024 3:25pm ET | $206.85 | 43 | $8,894.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2024 9:30am ET | $196.30 | 43 | $8,440.90 | $8,624.65 |
$-453.65 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 9, 2024 3:55pm ET | $151.20 | 57 | $8,618.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2024 10:10am ET | $141.70 | 57 | $8,076.90 | $8,083.15 |
$-541.50 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2024 10:10am ET | $140.60 | 57 | $8,014.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2024 11:05am ET | $144.30 | 57 | $8,225.10 | $8,294.05 |
+$210.90 (+2.6%) |
RESISTANCE
54m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2024 10:20am ET | $111.00 | 74 | $8,214.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2024 11:45am ET | $112.25 | 74 | $8,306.50 | $8,386.55 |
+$92.50 (+1.1%) |
RESISTANCE
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 23, 2024 10:10am ET | $115.45 | 72 | $8,312.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 23, 2024 11:50am ET | $119.30 | 72 | $8,589.60 | $8,663.86 |
+$277.31 (+3.3%) |
RESISTANCE
1.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2024 10:55am ET | $133.55 | 64 | $8,547.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2024 12:00pm ET | $139.70 | 64 | $8,940.80 | $9,057.46 |
+$393.60 (+4.6%) |
RESISTANCE
1.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 10:05am ET | $140.50 | 64 | $8,991.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2024 11:05am ET | $146.05 | 64 | $9,347.20 | $9,412.69 |
+$355.23 (+4.0%) |
RESISTANCE
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2024 12:05pm ET | $136.90 | 68 | $9,309.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2024 1:40pm ET | $129.86 | 68 | $8,830.48 | $8,934.00 |
$-478.69 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $110.10 | 81 | $8,918.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 12:50pm ET | $110.63 | 81 | $8,960.63 | $8,976.53 |
+$42.53 (+0.5%) |
RESISTANCE
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:40am ET | $107.50 | 83 | $8,922.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2024 11:45am ET | $104.70 | 83 | $8,690.10 | $8,744.13 |
$-232.40 (-2.6%) |
RESISTANCE
2.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 10:05am ET | $134.20 | 65 | $8,723.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 10:35am ET | $127.05 | 65 | $8,258.25 | $8,279.38 |
$-464.75 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 11:15am ET | $102.40 | 80 | $8,192.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2024 1:05pm ET | $100.05 | 80 | $8,004.00 | $8,091.38 |
$-188.00 (-2.3%) |
RESISTANCE
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $99.25 | 81 | $8,039.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 11:10am ET | $98.25 | 81 | $7,958.29 | $8,010.42 |
$-80.96 (-1.0%) |
RESISTANCE
1.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 10:40am ET | $94.80 | 84 | $7,963.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 12:05pm ET | $100.39 | 84 | $8,432.89 | $8,480.11 |
+$469.69 (+5.9%) |
RESISTANCE
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 12:40pm ET | $118.15 | 71 | $8,388.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 2:50pm ET | $112.08 | 71 | $7,957.33 | $8,048.78 |
$-431.33 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 2:50pm ET | $136.53 | 58 | $7,918.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $138.70 | 58 | $8,044.60 | $8,174.93 |
+$126.15 (+1.6%) |
RESISTANCE
20.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $126.30 | 64 | $8,083.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2025 12:05pm ET | $125.33 | 64 | $8,020.80 | $8,112.53 |
$-62.40 (-0.8%) |
RESISTANCE
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2025 10:20am ET | $99.95 | 81 | $8,095.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 11:25am ET | $100.05 | 81 | $8,104.01 | $8,120.59 |
+$8.06 (+0.1%) |
RESISTANCE
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $183.05 | 44 | $8,054.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 12:35pm ET | $208.35 | 44 | $9,167.40 | $9,233.79 |
+$1,113.20 (+13.8%) |
RESISTANCE
2.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $230.60 | 40 | $9,224.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $197.63 | 40 | $7,905.00 | $7,914.79 |
$-1,319.00 (-14.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 2:00pm ET | $205.15 | 38 | $7,795.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 3:25pm ET | $219.30 | 38 | $8,333.38 | $8,452.47 |
+$537.68 (+6.9%) |
RESISTANCE
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 10:20am ET | $177.05 | 47 | $8,321.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $180.49 | 47 | $8,482.96 | $8,614.08 |
+$161.61 (+1.9%) |
RESISTANCE
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $181.05 | 47 | $8,509.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 11:35am ET | $177.63 | 47 | $8,348.38 | $8,453.11 |
$-160.98 (-1.9%) |
RESISTANCE
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $118.85 | 71 | $8,438.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 11:20am ET | $115.81 | 71 | $8,222.26 | $8,237.02 |
$-216.09 (-2.6%) |
RESISTANCE
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $118.30 | 69 | $8,162.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 11:30am ET | $113.43 | 69 | $7,826.33 | $7,900.64 |
$-336.38 (-4.1%) |
RESISTANCE
2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $107.18 | 73 | $7,823.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 11:30am ET | $103.75 | 73 | $7,573.75 | $7,650.62 |
$-250.03 (-3.2%) |
RESISTANCE
2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $99.35 | 77 | $7,649.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $98.80 | 77 | $7,607.60 | $7,608.27 |
$-42.35 (-0.6%) |
RESISTANCE
1.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $80.78 | 94 | $7,592.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 11:20am ET | $80.70 | 94 | $7,585.85 | $7,601.26 |
$-7.00 (-0.1%) |
RESISTANCE
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 11:30am ET | $61.50 | 123 | $7,564.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 12:50pm ET | $61.15 | 123 | $7,521.45 | $7,558.28 |
$-42.99 (-0.6%) |
RESISTANCE
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.28 | 131 | $7,503.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 11:05am ET | $57.53 | 131 | $7,536.95 | $7,592.20 |
+$33.93 (+0.5%) |
RESISTANCE
1.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.70 | 133 | $7,541.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 11:40am ET | $54.35 | 133 | $7,228.55 | $7,279.65 |
$-312.55 (-4.1%) |
RESISTANCE
2.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.10 | 142 | $7,256.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $51.58 | 142 | $7,323.65 | $7,347.10 |
+$67.45 (+0.9%) |
RESISTANCE
1.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.45 | 137 | $7,322.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $55.64 | 137 | $7,622.70 | $7,647.15 |
+$300.05 (+4.1%) |
RESISTANCE
1.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $62.09 | 123 | $7,637.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:05pm ET | $61.25 | 123 | $7,533.75 | $7,543.83 |
$-103.32 (-1.4%) |
RESISTANCE
3.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $38.13 | 197 | $7,511.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $37.82 | 197 | $7,450.40 | $7,482.60 |
$-61.23 (-0.8%) |
RESISTANCE
1.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $37.88 | 197 | $7,462.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $37.69 | 197 | $7,425.91 | $7,446.16 |
$-36.45 (-0.5%) |
RESISTANCE
1.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $45.17 | 164 | $7,407.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $44.51 | 164 | $7,299.64 | $7,337.92 |
$-108.24 (-1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $52.23 | 140 | $7,312.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $49.20 | 140 | $6,888.00 | $6,913.72 |
$-424.20 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $47.58 | 145 | $6,898.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.55 | 145 | $6,459.74 | $6,475.08 |
$-438.64 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.58 | 133 | $6,461.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.06 | 133 | $6,525.55 | $6,539.48 |
+$64.40 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.16 | 116 | $6,514.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.69 | 116 | $6,575.46 | $6,600.38 |
+$60.90 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $50.60 | 130 | $6,578.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $51.69 | 130 | $6,719.70 | $6,741.43 |
+$141.05 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.46 | 155 | $6,735.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $43.05 | 155 | $6,672.75 | $6,678.65 |
$-62.78 (-0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,678.65
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,321.35
Total Return:
-33.21%