Compendium › Penelope Swing › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.18%
Year to Date Return
$10,456.81
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,690.13
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.2/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 19.0/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 14.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,513
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,690.13
Current Value
$10,456.81
Period P&L
$-233.32
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.60

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+0.18%
Worst Trade
-2.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
5m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,451.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-233.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-233.32
Gross Return
-2.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,690.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:45am ET $9.74 1,096 $10,680.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:50am ET $9.76 1,096 $10,691.48 $10,701.09 +$10.96
(+0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $9.17 1,166 $10,692.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $8.98 1,166 $10,470.68 $10,479.55 $-221.54
(-2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $8.22 1,274 $10,472.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:55am ET $8.23 1,274 $10,491.39 $10,498.66 +$19.11
(+0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET $7.53 1,395 $10,497.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET $7.49 1,395 $10,455.52 $10,456.81 $-41.85
(-0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,456.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$456.81
Total Return: +4.57%
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