Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:17:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 50%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 25.2/100
× Confidence 0.50 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (50%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,692
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,519.92
Current Value
$11,015.50
Total P&L
$1,495.57
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+9.26%
Worst Trade
-8.37%
Avg Trade Return
+1.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$317,129.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,495.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,495.57
Gross Return
+15.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $9,519.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 14, 2024 11:35am ET $9.03 1,054 $9,513.09
🔴 SELL May 14, 2024 11:55am ET $8.27 1,054 $8,716.69 $8,723.52 $-796.40
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2024 1:05pm ET $5.13 1,700 $8,721.17
🔴 SELL May 15, 2024 1:40pm ET $5.51 1,700 $9,358.50 $9,360.85 +$637.33
(+7.3%)
RESISTANCE
36m held
3 🟢 BUY May 17, 2024 9:30am ET $4.43 2,113 $9,360.59
🔴 SELL May 17, 2024 10:05am ET $4.84 2,113 $10,226.92 $10,227.18 +$866.33
(+9.3%)
RESISTANCE
36m held
4 🟢 BUY May 21, 2024 12:35pm ET $4.65 2,199 $10,224.69
🔴 SELL May 21, 2024 2:00pm ET $4.72 2,199 $10,368.29 $10,370.77 +$143.59
(+1.4%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2024 10:30am ET $4.51 2,299 $10,368.26
🔴 SELL May 29, 2024 11:55am ET $4.48 2,299 $10,299.52 $10,302.03 $-68.74
(-0.7%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2024 11:15am ET $4.75 2,168 $10,298.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2024 12:00pm ET $4.96 2,168 $10,742.44 $10,746.47 +$444.44
(+4.3%)
RESISTANCE
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 11:10am ET $5.40 1,991 $10,741.45
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 11:35am ET $5.73 1,991 $11,408.43 $11,413.46 +$666.99
(+6.2%)
RESISTANCE
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 10:55am ET $5.06 2,257 $11,409.14
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2024 12:45pm ET $4.95 2,257 $11,164.48 $11,168.80 $-244.66
(-2.1%)
RESISTANCE
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2024 9:40am ET $5.15 2,168 $11,164.98
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2024 12:20pm ET $5.07 2,168 $10,989.59 $10,993.41 $-175.39
(-1.6%)
RESISTANCE
2.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 9:40am ET $4.30 2,556 $10,990.80
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 11:05am ET $4.40 2,556 $11,246.40 $11,249.01 +$255.60
(+2.3%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 6, 2024 9:30am ET $4.80 2,345 $11,244.28
🔴 SELL Dec 6, 2024 11:25am ET $4.75 2,345 $11,127.03 $11,131.76 $-117.25
(-1.0%)
RESISTANCE
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 9:40am ET $3.67 3,033 $11,131.11
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 12:15pm ET $3.53 3,033 $10,705.58 $10,706.23 $-425.53
(-3.8%)
RESISTANCE
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET $2.82 3,802 $10,704.91
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:15am ET $2.89 3,802 $10,968.77 $10,970.09 +$263.86
(+2.5%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $1.64 6,692 $10,969.53
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET $1.64 6,692 $10,974.88 $10,975.44 +$5.35
(+0.1%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1.37 8,011 $10,975.07
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET $1.38 8,011 $11,015.13 $11,015.50 +$40.05
(+0.4%)
RESISTANCE
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,015.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,015.50
Total Return: +10.15%
Back to Penelope Swing