Compendium › Penelope Swing › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

-4.78%
2 Years Return
$9,239.44
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,703.08
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:17:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 17%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
57.8/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
50.1/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
58.7/10
Raw Quality 259.9/100
× Confidence 0.17 = 44.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (17%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
86,844
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,703.08
Current Value
$9,239.44
Total P&L
$-463.63
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+1.40%
Worst Trade
-5.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
1.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$153,268.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-463.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-463.63
Gross Return
-4.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $9,703.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2024 9:30am ET $150.31 64 $9,619.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 11:05am ET $150.43 64 $9,627.52 $9,711.08 +$8.00
(+0.1%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET $107.92 89 $9,604.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2025 11:05am ET $108.85 89 $9,687.52 $9,793.71 +$82.64
(+0.9%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:55am ET $87.85 111 $9,750.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 11:15am ET $87.03 111 $9,659.78 $9,702.69 $-91.02
(-0.9%) 		RESISTANCE
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 10:00am ET $89.28 108 $9,642.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $87.75 108 $9,477.00 $9,537.45 $-165.24
(-1.7%) 		RESISTANCE
2.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 10:35am ET $159.57 59 $9,414.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 11:40am ET $161.81 59 $9,546.50 $9,669.32 +$131.87
(+1.4%) 		RESISTANCE
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 11:05am ET $208.78 46 $9,603.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 11:30am ET $209.96 46 $9,657.93 $9,723.30 +$53.98
(+0.6%) 		RESISTANCE
24m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $198.07 49 $9,705.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:10am ET $198.33 49 $9,717.93 $9,735.79 +$12.49
(+0.1%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.66 45 $9,524.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $200.63 45 $9,028.35 $9,239.44 $-496.35
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,239.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-760.56
Total Return: -7.61%
Back to Penelope Swing