AVAXUSD Penelope Swing's Analysis
2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-20 16:50:00+00 • 25 trades executed
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Strategy Score Scored May 16, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Trade Statistics
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $11,778.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET | $17.54 | 672 | $11,778.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 3:25am ET | $18.91 | 672 | $12,698.66 | $12,637.47 |
+$858.81 (+7.8%) |
RESISTANCE
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2024 5:40am ET | $34.40 | 367 | $12,637.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 7:00am ET | $34.95 | 367 | $12,839.52 | $12,775.83 |
+$138.36 (+1.6%) |
RESISTANCE
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2024 9:20am ET | $49.47 | 258 | $12,775.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2024 10:30am ET | $49.80 | 258 | $12,861.06 | $12,796.96 |
+$21.13 (+0.7%) |
RESISTANCE
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET | $41.10 | 311 | $12,796.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 6:25pm ET | $45.41 | 311 | $14,139.87 | $14,072.52 |
+$1,275.56 (+10.5%) |
RESISTANCE
2.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 1:20pm ET | $38.79 | 363 | $14,072.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET | $38.75 | 363 | $14,058.01 | $13,987.69 |
$-84.84 (-0.1%) |
RESISTANCE
2.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 4:05am ET | $36.15 | 387 | $13,987.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 6:35am ET | $34.15 | 387 | $13,213.82 | $13,145.81 |
$-841.87 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $25.17 | 522 | $13,145.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 8:55pm ET | $23.81 | 522 | $12,432.90 | $12,368.95 |
$-776.86 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 1:40pm ET | $28.57 | 433 | $12,368.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $28.64 | 433 | $12,399.26 | $12,337.34 |
$-31.62 (+0.2%) |
RESISTANCE
24m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $7.79 | 1,584 | $12,337.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET | $8.34 | 1,584 | $13,211.73 | $13,147.85 |
+$810.52 (+7.1%) |
RESISTANCE
54m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.07 | 1,449 | $13,147.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $9.09 | 1,449 | $13,170.78 | $13,170.78 |
$-42.87 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $9.08 | 1,451 | $13,170.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $9.08 | 1,451 | $13,182.03 | $13,182.03 |
$-54.64 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $9.10 | 1,449 | $13,182.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $9.07 | 1,449 | $13,138.04 | $13,138.04 |
$-109.79 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.13 | 1,439 | $13,138.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $9.11 | 1,439 | $13,109.83 | $13,109.83 |
$-93.82 (-0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $9.11 | 1,440 | $13,109.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $9.10 | 1,440 | $13,100.59 | $13,100.59 |
$-74.76 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $9.12 | 1,436 | $13,100.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:30am ET | $9.11 | 1,436 | $13,088.35 | $13,088.35 |
$-77.72 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $9.08 | 1,441 | $13,088.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $9.09 | 1,441 | $13,097.31 | $13,097.31 |
$-56.50 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $9.12 | 1,436 | $13,097.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $9.12 | 1,436 | $13,099.21 | $13,099.21 |
$-63.59 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $9.13 | 1,434 | $13,099.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.16 | 1,434 | $13,139.56 | $13,139.56 |
$-25.25 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |